Serie B · Regular Season - 35
Juventude vs Nautico Recife
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Juventude host Nautico Recife on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juventude 64%, draw 22%, Nautico Recife 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventude €610K, Nautico Recife €230K.
- Juventude are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juventude goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Juventude 1750 · Nautico Recife 1540
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventude · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1832
Nautico Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1615
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventude
3rd in Serie B · 61 pts from 34
- 17 OctDCeara Brazil Serie B1770
- 11 OctDSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1766
- 7 OctWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1751
- 2 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1745
- 28 SepWAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1697
Nautico Recife
16th in Serie B · 42 pts from 33
- 11 OctLVila Nova Brazil Serie B1504
- 8 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1563
- 3 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1560
- 26 SepWSport Recife Brazil Serie B1536
- 22 SepLCuiaba Brazil Serie B1535
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | 61 /34 | 67.4 | 27% | 91% | 0% | 1st |
| Nautico Recife | 42 /33 | 47.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventude: direct (how Maurício Nogueira Barbieri plays) · Nautico Recife: balanced profile (how Bruno Marques Fernandes Pivetti plays)