Serie B · Regular Season - 38
Juventude vs Botafogo SP
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Juventude host Botafogo SP on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juventude 59%, draw 24%, Botafogo SP 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventude €672K, Botafogo SP €305K.
- Juventude are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juventude goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 3–07%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Juventude 1765 · Botafogo SP 1615
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventude · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1847
Botafogo SP · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1679
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventude
2nd in Serie B · 64 pts from 35
- 26 OctWNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1761
- 17 OctDCeara Brazil Serie B1770
- 11 OctDSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1766
- 7 OctWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1751
- 2 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1745
Botafogo SP
12th in Serie B · 47 pts from 35
- 24 OctWAvai Brazil Serie B1613
- 18 OctWCRB Brazil Serie B1558
- 13 OctWCeara Brazil Serie B1579
- 7 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1534
- 3 OctLVila Nova Brazil Serie B1582
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | 64 /35 | 68.4 | 31% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| Botafogo SP | 47 /35 | 51.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventude: direct (how Maurício Barbieri plays) · Botafogo SP: balanced profile (how Cláudio Tencati plays)