Primera División · Clausura - 10
Juventud 2–0 Racing Montevideo
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Estadio Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
JuventudTeam 1556Racing MontevideoTeam 1461- Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani 33', 41'
We gave Juventud 49% to win: they did.
- 6'felipe alvarez –Racing Montevideo:felipe alvarez –
- 12'Agustín De la Cuesta Airoldi –Racing Montevideo:Agustín De la Cuesta Airoldi –
- 16'Alex Vázquez –Racing Montevideo:Alex Vázquez –
- Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone –25'Juventud:Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone –
- 26'Racing Montevideo:
- Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani –33'Juventud:Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani –
- Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani –41'Juventud:Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani –
- 46'franco suarez – for felipe alvarez –Racing Montevideo:franco suarez – for felipe alvarez –
- 60'ivan manzur for Sebastian Da Silva –Racing Montevideo:ivan manzur for Sebastian Da Silva –
- Emanuel Cecchini – for Mirko Diaz68'Juventud:Emanuel Cecchini – for Mirko Diaz
- Emmanuel Más – for Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone –68'Juventud:Emmanuel Más – for Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone –
- 73'ramiro brazionis –Racing Montevideo:ramiro brazionis –
- Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani –74'Juventud:Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani –
- Carlos Sosa –74'Juventud:Carlos Sosa –
- Federico Barrandeguy Martino –78'Juventud:Federico Barrandeguy Martino –
- 78'lucca loprete – for Alex Vázquez –Racing Montevideo:lucca loprete – for Alex Vázquez –
- Fabrizio Correa – for Carlos Sosa –78'Juventud:Fabrizio Correa – for Carlos Sosa –
- facundo perez – for Ramiro Miguel Peralta –79'Juventud:facundo perez – for Ramiro Miguel Peralta –
- facundo dominguez for Bruno Larregui –79'Juventud:facundo dominguez for Bruno Larregui –
Before kick-off (provisional): 49% · 27% · 24%(Juventud · draw · Racing Montevideo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventud €364K, Racing Montevideo €332K.
- Juventud were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventud
10th in Primera División - Apertura · 37 pts from 31
- 4 OctDBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1564
- 27 SepDCerro Uruguay Primera Division1582
- 13 SepDDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1546
- 6 SepDClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1573
- 29 AugWDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1555
Racing Montevideo
4th in Primera División - Apertura · 53 pts from 31
- 4 OctLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1497
- 26 SepLProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1472
- 12 SepWBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1448
- 6 SepLCerro Uruguay Primera Division1454
- 10 AugDDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1480
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 98 /68 | 101.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6th |
| Racing Montevideo | 106 /68 | 108.4 | 0% | 55% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventud · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1631
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –