Serie B · Regular Season - 7
Juve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
Juve StabiaTeam 1583
SudtirolTeam 1616Match story
Juve Stabia · draw · SudtirolBefore kick-off: 40% · 30% · 31%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Giusepe Sibilli 43'
- Antonio Di Nardo 73'
- Romeo Sandrucci 84'
We gave Juve Stabia 40% to win: they did.
- 18'Aljosa Vasic 1510 0
Sudtirol:Aljosa Vasic 1510 0 - Marco Bellich 1813 +2226'
Juve Stabia:Marco Bellich 1813 +22 - 29'Riccardo Stivanello 1618 0
Sudtirol:Riccardo Stivanello 1618 0 - Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +4340'
Juve Stabia:Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43 - Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43 assist Fabio Maistro 1687 +3843'
Juve Stabia:Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43 assist Fabio Maistro 1687 +38 - 59'Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes 1705 −4
Sudtirol:Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes 1705 −4 - 66'Kenny Meddy Mixtur 1424 0 for Alvin Okoro 1333 0
Sudtirol:Kenny Meddy Mixtur 1424 0 for Alvin Okoro 1333 0 - 66'Rares Burnete 1365 0 for Aljosa Vasic 1510 0
Sudtirol:Rares Burnete 1365 0 for Aljosa Vasic 1510 0 - Romeo Sandrucci 1426 +18* for Fabio Maistro 1687 +3867'
Juve Stabia:Romeo Sandrucci 1426 +18* for Fabio Maistro 1687 +38 - Thomas Battistella 1618 +16 for Justin Kumi 1532 +2267'
Juve Stabia:Thomas Battistella 1618 +16 for Justin Kumi 1532 +22 - Nermin Karić 1681 −5* for Federico Artioli 1717 +29*72'
Juve Stabia:Nermin Karić 1681 −5* for Federico Artioli 1717 +29* - Antonio Di Nardo 1596 +67 assist Marco Bellich 1813 +2273'
Juve Stabia:Antonio Di Nardo 1596 +67 assist Marco Bellich 1813 +22 - 76'Dhirar Brik 1305 0 for Fabio Rispoli 1736 −7
Sudtirol:Dhirar Brik 1305 0 for Fabio Rispoli 1736 −7 - Leonardo Candellone 1698 0 for Antonio Di Nardo 1596 +6781'
Juve Stabia:Leonardo Candellone 1698 0 for Antonio Di Nardo 1596 +67 - Sana Fernandes 1650 +2 for Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +4382'
Juve Stabia:Sana Fernandes 1650 +2 for Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43 - 83'Mattia Pellini 1729 −8* for Riccardo Stivanello 1618 0
Sudtirol:Mattia Pellini 1729 −8* for Riccardo Stivanello 1618 0 - Romeo Sandrucci 1426 +18* assist Terrence Douglas 1642 +6684'
Juve Stabia:Romeo Sandrucci 1426 +18* assist Terrence Douglas 1642 +66 - Nermin Karić 1681 −5*88'
Juve Stabia:Nermin Karić 1681 −5*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 31%(Juve Stabia · draw · Sudtirol)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Juve Stabia €677K, Sudtirol €710K.
- Home advantage made Juve Stabia the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juve Stabia
20th in Serie B · 2 pts from 6
- 10 OctDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1629
- 18 SepDCesena Italy Serie B1621
- 12 SepDVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1613
- 6 SepLPisa Italy Serie B1661
- 29 AugWSampdoria Italy Serie B1626
Sudtirol
5th in Serie B · 12 pts from 6
- 10 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1651
- 20 SepWArezzo Italy Serie B1623
- 15 SepLGenoa Italy Coppa Italia1536
- 12 SepDModena Italy Serie B1655
- 5 SepWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1589
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 2 /6 | 42.0 | 0% | 1% | 35% | 19th |
| Sudtirol | 12 /6 | 50.9 | <1% | 8% | 5% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Juve Stabia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1775

Sudtirol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1664
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juve Stabia: balanced profile (how Pietro De Giorgio plays) · Sudtirol: direct (how Davide Possanzini plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.