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Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Juve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia

Juve Stabia crestJuve StabiaTeam 1583
3–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Sudtirol crestSudtirolTeam 1616

Match story

Juve Stabia · draw · Sudtirol

Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 31%

Live chances: Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 40%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%3' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 40%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%4' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%5' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%6' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%7' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%8' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%9' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 30%, Sudtirol 31%10' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%11' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%12' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%13' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%14' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%15' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%16' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%17' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%18' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%19' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%20' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%21' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%22' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%23' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 38%, draw 32%, Sudtirol 30%24' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 33%, Sudtirol 30%25' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 33%, Sudtirol 30%26' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 33%, Sudtirol 30%27' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 33%, Sudtirol 30%28' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 33%, Sudtirol 30%29' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 34%, Sudtirol 30%30' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 34%, Sudtirol 29%31' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 37%, draw 34%, Sudtirol 29%32' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 36%, draw 34%, Sudtirol 29%33' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 36%, draw 34%, Sudtirol 29%34' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 36%, draw 35%, Sudtirol 29%35' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 36%, draw 35%, Sudtirol 29%37' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 36%, draw 35%, Sudtirol 29%38' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 35%, draw 36%, Sudtirol 29%39' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 35%, draw 36%, Sudtirol 29%40' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 35%, draw 36%, Sudtirol 29%41' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 35%, draw 37%, Sudtirol 29%42' · 0–0 · Juve Stabia 35%, draw 37%, Sudtirol 28%43' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 69%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 9%44' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 69%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 9%45' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 69%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 9%45+1' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 69%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 9%45+2' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%45+3' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%HT · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%46' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%47' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%48' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%49' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 70%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 8%50' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 71%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 7%51' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 71%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 7%52' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 71%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 7%53' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 71%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 7%54' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 72%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 7%55' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 72%, draw 21%, Sudtirol 7%56' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 72%, draw 21%, Sudtirol 6%57' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 73%, draw 21%, Sudtirol 6%58' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 73%, draw 21%, Sudtirol 6%59' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 73%, draw 21%, Sudtirol 6%60' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 84%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%61' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 84%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%63' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 85%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%64' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 85%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%65' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 85%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%66' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 85%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%67' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 85%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%68' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 86%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%69' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 86%, draw 13%, Sudtirol 2%70' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 86%, draw 12%, Sudtirol 2%71' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 86%, draw 12%, Sudtirol 2%72' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 86%, draw 12%, Sudtirol 1%73' · 1–0 · Juve Stabia 87%, draw 12%, Sudtirol 1%74' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%75' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%76' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%77' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%78' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%79' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%80' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%81' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%82' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%83' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 99%, draw 1%, Sudtirol 0%84' · 2–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%85' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%86' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%88' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%89' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%90' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%90+1' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%90+2' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%90+3' · 3–0 · Juve Stabia 100%, draw 0%, Sudtirol 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Juve Stabia 40% to win: they did.

  1. 18'Sudtirol:Aljosa Vasic 1510 0
  2. 26'Juve Stabia:Marco Bellich 1813 +22
  3. 29'Sudtirol:Riccardo Stivanello 1618 0
  4. 40'Juve Stabia:Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43
  5. 43'Juve Stabia:Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43 assist Fabio Maistro 1687 +38
  6. 59'Sudtirol:Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes 1705 −4
  7. 66'Sudtirol:Kenny Meddy Mixtur 1424 0 for Alvin Okoro 1333 0
  8. 66'Sudtirol:Rares Burnete 1365 0 for Aljosa Vasic 1510 0
  9. 67'Juve Stabia:Romeo Sandrucci 1426 +18* for Fabio Maistro 1687 +38
  10. 67'Juve Stabia:Thomas Battistella 1618 +16 for Justin Kumi 1532 +22
  11. 72'Juve Stabia:Nermin Karić 1681 −5* for Federico Artioli 1717 +29*
  12. 73'Juve Stabia:Antonio Di Nardo 1596 +67 assist Marco Bellich 1813 +22
  13. 76'Sudtirol:Dhirar Brik 1305 0 for Fabio Rispoli 1736 −7
  14. 81'Juve Stabia:Leonardo Candellone 1698 0 for Antonio Di Nardo 1596 +67
  15. 82'Juve Stabia:Sana Fernandes 1650 +2 for Giusepe Sibilli 1713 +43
  16. 83'Sudtirol:Mattia Pellini 1729 −8* for Riccardo Stivanello 1618 0
  17. 84'Juve Stabia:Romeo Sandrucci 1426 +18* assist Terrence Douglas 1642 +66
  18. 88'Juve Stabia:Nermin Karić 1681 −5*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-2-1
GA. Vuković1212+52*
DT. Maggioni1581+27
DD. Bettella1805+30
DM. Bellich1813+22
DT. Douglas1642+66
MC. Pierobon1726+21
MF. Artioli1717+29*
MJ. Kumi1532+22
FF. Maistro1687+38
FG. Sibilli1713+43
DA. Giorgini1804−17
DG. Stabile1786−15
MS. Molina1656−7
MFabio Rispoli1736−7
MS. Tronchin1669−1
MS. Davì1653−1
MVasco Lopes1705−4
MA. Vasic15100
FA. Okoro13330
Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 31%(Juve Stabia · draw · Sudtirol)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Juve Stabia €677K, Sudtirol €710K.
  • Home advantage made Juve Stabia the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Juve Stabia

20th in Serie B · 2 pts from 6

  • 10 OctDVirtus Entella 1629
  • 18 SepDCesena 1621
  • 12 SepDVicenza Virtus 1613
  • 6 SepLPisa 1661
  • 29 AugWSampdoria 1626

Sudtirol

5th in Serie B · 12 pts from 6

  • 10 OctDAscoli 1651
  • 20 SepWArezzo 1623
  • 15 SepLGenoa 1536
  • 12 SepDModena 1655
  • 5 SepWCatanzaro 1589

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Juve Stabia2 /642.00%1%35%19th
Sudtirol12 /650.9<1%8%5%12th
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Bettella
D. Bettella

Juve Stabia · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1775

S. Molina
S. Molina

Sudtirol · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1664

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Pietro De Giorgio

Coach DNA: –

Davide Possanzini

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Juve Stabia: balanced profile (how Pietro De Giorgio plays) · Sudtirol: direct (how Davide Possanzini plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.