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Primera A · Clausura - 4

Junior 1–1 Deportivo Pereira

Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla

Junior crestJuniorTeam 1632
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Deportivo Pereira crestDeportivo PereiraTeam 1366

Match story

Junior · draw · Deportivo Pereira

Before kick-off: 71% · 17% · 12%

Live chances: Junior 1%, draw 98%, Deportivo Pereira 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Junior 71%, draw 17%, Deportivo Pereira 12%2' · 0–0 · Junior 70%, draw 17%, Deportivo Pereira 12%3' · 0–0 · Junior 70%, draw 17%, Deportivo Pereira 12%4' · 0–0 · Junior 70%, draw 18%, Deportivo Pereira 12%5' · 0–0 · Junior 70%, draw 18%, Deportivo Pereira 13%6' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%7' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%8' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%9' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%10' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%11' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%12' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%13' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 9%, Deportivo Pereira 4%14' · 1–0 · Junior 87%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%15' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%16' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%17' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%18' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%19' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%20' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%21' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%22' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%23' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%24' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%25' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%26' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%27' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 10%, Deportivo Pereira 4%28' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%29' · 1–0 · Junior 86%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%30' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%31' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%32' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%33' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%34' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%35' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%36' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%37' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%38' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%39' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%40' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%41' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 11%, Deportivo Pereira 4%42' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 4%43' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 4%44' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 4%45' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 4%45+1' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 4%45+2' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 4%45+3' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%HT · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%46' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%47' · 1–0 · Junior 85%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%48' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%49' · 1–0 · Junior 93%, draw 6%, Deportivo Pereira 1%50' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%51' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%52' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%53' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 12%, Deportivo Pereira 3%54' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 3%55' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 3%56' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 3%57' · 1–0 · Junior 84%, draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 3%58' · 1–1 · Junior 48%, draw 37%, Deportivo Pereira 16%59' · 1–1 · Junior 47%, draw 37%, Deportivo Pereira 16%60' · 1–1 · Junior 46%, draw 38%, Deportivo Pereira 16%61' · 2–1 · Junior 85%, draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 3%62' · 2–1 · Junior 85%, draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 3%63' · 1–1 · Junior 44%, draw 40%, Deportivo Pereira 15%64' · 1–1 · Junior 44%, draw 41%, Deportivo Pereira 15%65' · 1–1 · Junior 43%, draw 42%, Deportivo Pereira 15%66' · 1–1 · Junior 42%, draw 43%, Deportivo Pereira 15%67' · 1–1 · Junior 41%, draw 44%, Deportivo Pereira 15%68' · 1–1 · Junior 40%, draw 45%, Deportivo Pereira 15%69' · 1–1 · Junior 40%, draw 46%, Deportivo Pereira 15%70' · 1–1 · Junior 39%, draw 47%, Deportivo Pereira 15%71' · 1–1 · Junior 38%, draw 48%, Deportivo Pereira 14%72' · 1–1 · Junior 37%, draw 49%, Deportivo Pereira 14%73' · 1–1 · Junior 36%, draw 50%, Deportivo Pereira 14%74' · 1–1 · Junior 35%, draw 51%, Deportivo Pereira 14%75' · 1–1 · Junior 34%, draw 52%, Deportivo Pereira 14%76' · 1–1 · Junior 33%, draw 54%, Deportivo Pereira 13%77' · 1–1 · Junior 32%, draw 55%, Deportivo Pereira 13%78' · 1–1 · Junior 31%, draw 56%, Deportivo Pereira 13%79' · 1–1 · Junior 30%, draw 58%, Deportivo Pereira 12%80' · 1–1 · Junior 28%, draw 60%, Deportivo Pereira 12%81' · 1–1 · Junior 27%, draw 61%, Deportivo Pereira 12%82' · 1–1 · Junior 26%, draw 63%, Deportivo Pereira 11%83' · 1–1 · Junior 25%, draw 64%, Deportivo Pereira 11%84' · 1–1 · Junior 23%, draw 66%, Deportivo Pereira 10%85' · 1–1 · Junior 22%, draw 68%, Deportivo Pereira 10%86' · 1–1 · Junior 21%, draw 70%, Deportivo Pereira 9%87' · 1–1 · Junior 19%, draw 72%, Deportivo Pereira 9%88' · 1–1 · Junior 18%, draw 74%, Deportivo Pereira 8%89' · 1–1 · Junior 16%, draw 77%, Deportivo Pereira 7%90' · 1–1 · Junior 14%, draw 79%, Deportivo Pereira 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Junior 12%, draw 82%, Deportivo Pereira 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Junior 10%, draw 85%, Deportivo Pereira 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Junior 8%, draw 88%, Deportivo Pereira 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Junior 6%, draw 91%, Deportivo Pereira 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Junior 4%, draw 95%, Deportivo Pereira 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Junior 1%, draw 98%, Deportivo Pereira 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Junior 71% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 5'Junior:Jermein Pena 1716 −14 assist Kevin Pérez 1687 −5
  2. 25'Deportivo Pereira:Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez 1295 +10
  3. 36'Junior:Jermein Pena 1716 −14
  4. 44'Deportivo Pereira:Nicolás Rengifo 1385 +8
  5. 45'Junior:Luis Muriel 1608 −8 (penalty missed)
  6. 45'Deportivo Pereira:Anderson Plata 1333 +17 for Sebastian Acosta 1328 +5
  7. 45'Deportivo Pereira:Sebastián Urrea Arbeláez 1472 −2* for Nicolás Rengifo 1385 +8
  8. 45'Deportivo Pereira:Ederson Moreno 1472 +1 for Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez 1295 +10
  9. 47'Junior:Daniel Socarras 1496 0
  10. 49'Deportivo Pereira:Ederson Moreno 1472 +1
  11. 58'Deportivo Pereira:Anderson Plata 1333 +17 assist Ederson Moreno 1472 +1
  12. 62'Junior:Francisco Fydriszewski 1707 −6 for Luis Muriel 1608 −8
  13. 62'Junior:Teófilo Gutiérrez 1153 −17 for Bryan Castrillón 1732 −4
  14. 69'Junior:Andrés Shmalbach for Edwin Herrera 1685 −16*
  15. 69'Junior:Cristian Barrios 1696 −2 for Guillermo Paiva 1671 −4
  16. 69'Deportivo Pereira:Miguel Ángel Aguirre 1394 +3 for Luis Jeiner Moreno 1286 +16
  17. 79'Junior:Yimmi Chará 1621 −8 for Kevin Pérez 1687 −5
  18. 90'Deportivo Pereira:Tobías Bovone 1489 0 for Miguel Palacios 1415 +14

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Martínez1575−2
DK. Pérez1687−5
DE. Herrera1685−16*
DDaniel Socarras14960
DJ. Peña1716−14
MD. Rivera1704−13
MF. Ángel1740−6
ML. Muriel1608−8
MB. Castrillón1732−4
MJesús Rivas1655−9
FG. Paiva1671−4
CS. Viera15740
GYimy Gómez1480+10
DJ. Monroy1499+7
DS. Aguilar1547+6
DW. Pacheco1517+20
DF. Delgado1485+20*
MN. Rengifo1385+8
ML. Moreno1286+16
MM. Palacios1415+14
MS. Acosta1328+5
MM. Diaz1295+10
FJ. Largacha1535+7
CA. Márquez1424+26
Before kick-off: 71% · 17% · 12%(Junior · draw · Deportivo Pereira)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–1 (9%); the result 1–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Junior €469K, Deportivo Pereira €170K.
  • Style contrast in discipline (Primera A): Junior ranked #1 of 22, Deportivo Pereira #21.
  • Junior's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.2 over 180 days.
  • Deportivo Pereira's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.5 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of Junior's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Junior

2nd in Primera A · 35 pts from 19

  • 10 OctDInternacional de Bogota 1623
  • 4 OctLBucaramanga 1649
  • 1 OctLAtletico Nacional 1666
  • 27 SepWIndependiente Medellin 1661
  • 20 SepWFortaleza FC 1627

Deportivo Pereira

20th in Primera A · 10 pts from 19

  • 10 OctDDeportivo Cali 1410
  • 4 OctLCucuta 1459
  • 29 SepLSanta Fe 1442
  • 26 SepDInternacional de Bogota 1465
  • 18 SepDÁguilas Doradas 1477

Season outlook

From the Primera A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Junior35 /1945.62%85%0%2nd
Deportivo Pereira10 /1917.00%0%97%20th
Junior
Deportivo Pereira

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Ángel
F. Ángel

Junior · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1746

Yimy Gómez
Yimy Gómez

Deportivo Pereira · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1470

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mario Sebastián Viera Galain

Coach DNA: –

José Aléxis Márquez Restrepo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Junior: balanced profile (how Mario Sebastián Viera Galain plays) · Deportivo Pereira: balanced profile (how José Aléxis Márquez Restrepo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.