Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Jong Utrecht host Emmen on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jong Utrecht 35%, draw 29%, Emmen 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jong Utrecht €352K, Emmen €361K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jong Utrecht goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Jong Utrecht 1629 · Emmen 1709
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong Utrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1679
Emmen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1749
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong Utrecht
20th in Eerste Divisie · 10 pts from 13
- 2 NovWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1616
- 23 OctLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1635
- 19 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1657
- 9 OctLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1649
- 18 SepLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1655
Emmen
5th in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 13
- 1 NovLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1778
- 29 OctWGroningen Netherlands KNVB Beker1702
- 23 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1716
- 17 OctWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1687
- 9 OctWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1660
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 10 /13 | 44.0 | 0% | <1% | 22% | 16th |
| Emmen | 25 /13 | 63.9 | 9% | 52% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong Utrecht: balanced profile (how Mark Otten plays) · Emmen: balanced profile (how M. van Dam plays)