Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Jong Utrecht host Dordrecht on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jong Utrecht 44%, draw 28%, Dordrecht 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jong Utrecht €352K, Dordrecht €259K.
- Dordrecht's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of Dordrecht's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jong Utrecht goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Jong Utrecht 1611 · Dordrecht 1572
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong Utrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1613
Dordrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.4 (Average) · Elo 1552
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong Utrecht
20th in Eerste Divisie · 7 pts from 10
- 9 OctLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1645
- 18 SepLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1649
- 14 SepWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1616
- 11 SepWNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1591
- 7 SepDFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1601
Dordrecht
19th in Eerste Divisie · 8 pts from 10
- 9 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1538
- 3 OctDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1566
- 25 SepWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1515
- 18 SepLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 11 SepLFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1493
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 7 /10 | 45.0 | 0% | 1% | 24% | 15th |
| Dordrecht | 8 /10 | 43.9 | 0% | 1% | 31% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong Utrecht: balanced profile (how Mark Otten plays) · Dordrecht: balanced profile (how Paul Nuijten plays)