Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17
Jong Utrecht vs Almere City FC
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Jong Utrecht host Almere City FC on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jong Utrecht 29%, draw 29%, Almere City FC 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jong Utrecht €404K, Almere City FC €701K.
- Eerste Divisie: F. Druijf is the highest-rated forward (1851).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jong Utrecht goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–16%
- 0–26%
- Other scores53%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Jong Utrecht 1626 · Almere City FC 1781
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong Utrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1673
Almere City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1851
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong Utrecht
19th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 14
- 7 NovDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1651
- 2 NovWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1610
- 23 OctLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1629
- 19 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1650
- 9 OctLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1643
Almere City FC
3rd in Eerste Divisie · 28 pts from 14
- 6 NovWJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1774
- 30 OctWWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1770
- 27 OctWTelstar Netherlands KNVB Beker1743
- 23 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1758
- 17 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1757
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 11 /14 | 43.9 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 16th |
| Almere City FC | 28 /14 | 70.6 | 39% | 91% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong Utrecht: balanced profile (how Mark Otten plays) · Almere City FC: direct (how Anoush Dastgir plays)