Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Jong PSV U21 host NAC Breda on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jong PSV U21 30%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jong PSV U21 €471K, NAC Breda €683K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Eerste Divisie): Jong PSV U21 rank #3 of 20, NAC Breda #17.
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- NAC Breda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jong PSV U21 goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Jong PSV U21 1530 · NAC Breda 1671
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1784
NAC Breda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1725
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong PSV U21
13th in Eerste Divisie · 13 pts from 10
- 9 OctDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1483
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1509
- 11 SepLHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1549
- 31 AugDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1523
- 28 AugDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
NAC Breda
5th in Eerste Divisie · 20 pts from 11
- 16 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1718
- 9 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1677
- 3 OctDVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1711
- 26 SepWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1690
- 20 SepWDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1668
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 13 /10 | 45.6 | 0% | 1% | 22% | 15th |
| NAC Breda | 20 /11 | 60.0 | 4% | 37% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays) · NAC Breda: balanced profile (how Rick Kruys plays)