Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Utrecht
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Jong PSV U21 host Jong Utrecht on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jong PSV U21 39%, draw 29%, Jong Utrecht 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jong PSV U21 €575K, Jong Utrecht €374K.
- Home advantage makes Jong PSV U21 the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Eerste Divisie: N. Fernandez is the highest-rated midfielder (1853).
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jong PSV U21 goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–18%
- 2–28%
- 1–27%
- 1–06%
- 2–06%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Jong PSV U21 1607 · Jong Utrecht 1626
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1564
Jong Utrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1673
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong PSV U21
13th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 14
- 6 NovDVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1571
- 23 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1558
- 9 OctDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1502
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1541
- 14 SepDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1638
Jong Utrecht
19th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 14
- 7 NovDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1651
- 2 NovWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1610
- 23 OctLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1629
- 19 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1650
- 9 OctLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1643
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 17 /14 | 49.0 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 12th |
| Jong Utrecht | 11 /14 | 43.8 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays) · Jong Utrecht: balanced profile (how Mark Otten plays)