Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
Jong PSV U21 0–1 Dordrecht
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Jong PSV U21Team 1532DordrechtTeam 1445- J. de Bie 12' (pen)
We gave Jong PSV U21 49% to win: Dordrecht won.
- Boet Mulders 133011'Jong PSV U21:Boet Mulders 1330
- 12'J. de Bie 1430 (pen.)Dordrecht:J. de Bie 1430 (pen.)
- 40'nicolas rossi 1509Dordrecht:nicolas rossi 1509
- Michael Bresser 1576 for Philip Holseter-Karlsen 132245'Jong PSV U21:Michael Bresser 1576 for Philip Holseter-Karlsen 1322
- Samuel Dumbili 1335 for Sami Ouaissa 198245'Jong PSV U21:Samuel Dumbili 1335 for Sami Ouaissa 1982
- 61'Siginho Gerardo 994 for nicolas rossi 1509Dordrecht:Siginho Gerardo 994 for nicolas rossi 1509
- Jairo Beerens 1238 for Fabio Kluit 170763'Jong PSV U21:Jairo Beerens 1238 for Fabio Kluit 1707
- 74'Senne Vugts 1383Dordrecht:Senne Vugts 1383
- Lyfe Oldenstam 1288 for Kyano Penso 131582'Jong PSV U21:Lyfe Oldenstam 1288 for Kyano Penso 1315
- Mathieu Buyens for Boet Mulders 133082'Jong PSV U21:Mathieu Buyens for Boet Mulders 1330
- 86'Lucas Gardenier for Robin van Asten 1569Dordrecht:Lucas Gardenier for Robin van Asten 1569
- 87'Adil Lechkar 1254 for J. de Bie 1430Dordrecht:Adil Lechkar 1254 for J. de Bie 1430
- 90+4'Yannis M'Bemba 1776 for Martin Vetkal 1552Dordrecht:Yannis M'Bemba 1776 for Martin Vetkal 1552
- 90+4'Seung-Gyun Bae 1562 for Senne Vugts 1383Dordrecht:Seung-Gyun Bae 1562 for Senne Vugts 1383
Live Elo changes aren't available for this match: the data feed has no usable line-up.
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 49% · 26% · 25%(Jong PSV U21 · draw · Dordrecht)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Jong PSV U21 €854K, Dordrecht €258K.
- Home advantage made Jong PSV U21 the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eerste Divisie): Jong PSV U21 ranked #19 of 20, Dordrecht #2.
- Dordrecht's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong PSV U21
13th in Eerste Divisie · 13 pts from 10
- 9 OctDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1483
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1509
- 11 SepLHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1549
- 31 AugDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1523
- 28 AugDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
Dordrecht
19th in Eerste Divisie · 8 pts from 10
- 9 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1538
- 3 OctDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1566
- 25 SepWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1515
- 18 SepLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 11 SepLFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1493
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong PSV U21 | 13 /10 | 45.6 | 0% | 1% | 22% | 15th |
| Dordrecht | 8 /10 | 43.9 | 0% | 1% | 31% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1784
Dordrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.4 (Average) · Elo 1552
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays) · Dordrecht: balanced profile (how Paul Nuijten plays)