Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17
Jong AZ vs FC OSS
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Jong AZ host FC OSS on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jong AZ 60%, draw 23%, FC OSS 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jong AZ €1.1M, FC OSS €284K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eerste Divisie matchday 17: 228 points.
- Eerste Divisie: R. Owusu-Oduro is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2044).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Eerste Divisie): Jong AZ rank #1 of 20, FC OSS #19.
- Only 0 of Jong AZ's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jong AZ goals first.
- 1–110%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 3–17%
- 2–27%
- 1–07%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: Jong AZ 1726 · FC OSS 1498
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jong AZ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1770
FC OSS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1608
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jong AZ
12th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 14
- 6 NovLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1751
- 30 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1748
- 23 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1748
- 16 OctDVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1735
- 9 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1725
FC OSS
16th in Eerste Divisie · 14 pts from 14
- 6 NovDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1491
- 2 NovLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1545
- 28 OctWPEC Zwolle Netherlands KNVB Beker1473
- 23 OctDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 16 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1540
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 17 /14 | 55.7 | 1% | 15% | <1% | 7th |
| FC OSS | 14 /14 | 39.7 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jong AZ: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Frank Peereboom plays) · FC OSS: direct · low-volume (how Sjors Ultee plays)