K League 1 · Championship Group - 34
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
Jeonbuk Motors host Daejeon Citizen on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jeonbuk Motors 41%, draw 29%, Daejeon Citizen 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jeonbuk Motors €638K, Daejeon Citizen €604K.
- Home advantage makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- K League 1: Song Bum-Keun is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1838).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (K League 1): Jeonbuk Motors rank #13 of 13, Daejeon Citizen #2.
- Jeonbuk Motors' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jeonbuk Motors goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Jeonbuk Motors 1719 · Daejeon Citizen 1725
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jeonbuk Motors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1697
Daejeon Citizen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1750
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jeonbuk Motors
4th in K League 1 · 48 pts from 33
- 24 OctDFC Anyang K League 11712
- 18 OctWJeju United FC K League 11717
- 14 OctLVissel Kobe AFC Champions League1735
- 9 OctLDaejeon Citizen K League 11722
- 20 SepDGwangju FC K League 11748
Daejeon Citizen
3rd in K League 1 · 49 pts from 33
- 24 OctWGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11705
- 18 OctWGwangju FC K League 11708
- 13 OctDShanghai SIPG AFC Champions League1678
- 9 OctWJeonbuk Motors K League 11681
- 20 SepDIncheon United K League 11693
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors | 48 /33 | 55.6 | 0% | 62% | 0% | 3rd |
| Daejeon Citizen | 49 /33 | 56.3 | 0% | 73% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jeonbuk Motors: balanced profile (how Jung-Yong Chung plays) · Daejeon Citizen: balanced profile (how Sun-Hong Hwang plays)