Primera A · Clausura - 16
Jaguares vs Llaneros
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Jaguares host Llaneros on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jaguares 38%, draw 29%, Llaneros 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jaguares €152K, Llaneros €253K.
- Home advantage makes Jaguares the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jaguares goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Jaguares 1449 · Llaneros 1561
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jaguares · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1582
Llaneros · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1589
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jaguares
16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19
- 17 OctLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1451
- 11 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1415
- 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1443
- 27 SepLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1422
- 22 SepLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1424
Llaneros
14th in Primera A · 22 pts from 19
- 18 OctWSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1551
- 10 OctLOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1536
- 5 OctLAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1538
- 26 SepLCucuta Colombia Primera A1571
- 21 SepWAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1533
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares | 18 /19 | 23.1 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 18th |
| Llaneros | 22 /19 | 28.9 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jaguares: balanced profile (how Hubert Antonio Bodhert Barrios plays) · Llaneros: balanced profile (how José Luis García Herrera plays)