Primera A · Clausura - 14
Jaguares 3–2 Deportes Tolima
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:05 UTC · Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria, Monteria
JaguaresTeam 1430Deportes TolimaTeam 1754- Luis Jimenez 40'
- Johan Beltrán 67'
- Darwin Lopez 90+3'
- Adrián Parra 77', 87'
We gave Deportes Tolima 50% to win: Jaguares won.
- Royscer Rafael Colpa Bolano –19'Jaguares:Royscer Rafael Colpa Bolano –
- 28'Juan Jose Mera Gonzalez – for Sebastian Guzman –Deportes Tolima:Juan Jose Mera Gonzalez – for Sebastian Guzman –
- 37'Ever Valencia –Deportes Tolima:Ever Valencia –
- Luis Jimenez – assist Rafael Bustamante –40'Jaguares:Luis Jimenez – assist Rafael Bustamante –
- 45'Edwar López – for Shean Barbosa –Deportes Tolima:Edwar López – for Shean Barbosa –
- 52'Brayan Rovira –Deportes Tolima:Brayan Rovira –
- 58'Luis Sandoval – for Sergio AguayoDeportes Tolima:Luis Sandoval – for Sergio Aguayo
- Darwin Lopez – for Andrés Rentería –64'Jaguares:Darwin Lopez – for Andrés Rentería –
- Johan Beltrán – for Cristian Alvarez –64'Jaguares:Johan Beltrán – for Cristian Alvarez –
- Santiago Cubides – for Johar Mejia –64'Jaguares:Santiago Cubides – for Johar Mejia –
- Johan Beltrán – assist Rafael Bustamante –67'Jaguares:Johan Beltrán – assist Rafael Bustamante –
- 68'Luis Sandoval –Deportes Tolima:Luis Sandoval –
- 77'Adrián Parra – assist Luis Sandoval –Deportes Tolima:Adrián Parra – assist Luis Sandoval –
- 79'Jader Valencia – for Brayan Rovira –Deportes Tolima:Jader Valencia – for Brayan Rovira –
- Jose Yanez for Wilfrido De la Rosa –81'Jaguares:Jose Yanez for Wilfrido De la Rosa –
- Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian – for Juan Esteban Franco –85'Jaguares:Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian – for Juan Esteban Franco –
- 87'Adrián Parra – assist Ever Valencia –Deportes Tolima:Adrián Parra – assist Ever Valencia –
- Santiago Cubides –90'Jaguares:Santiago Cubides –
- Darwin Lopez –90+3'Jaguares:Darwin Lopez –
- Johan Beltrán –90+5'Jaguares:Johan Beltrán –
Before kick-off (provisional): 23% · 27% · 50%(Jaguares · draw · Deportes Tolima)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 2%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jaguares €139K, Deportes Tolima €680K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera A Clausura - 14: 324 points.
- All 11 of Jaguares' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jaguares
16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19
- 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1443
- 27 SepLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1422
- 22 SepLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1424
- 11 SepDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1440
- 6 SepDJunior Colombia Primera A1463
Deportes Tolima
6th in Primera A · 31 pts from 19
- 8 OctDAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1760
- 3 OctDChico Colombia Primera A1746
- 27 SepDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1747
- 20 SepDAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1750
- 16 SepLOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1774
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares | 18 /19 | 24.9 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 18th |
| Deportes Tolima | 31 /19 | 40.7 | <1% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jaguares · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1546
Deportes Tolima · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.1 (Good) · Elo 1827
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jaguares: balanced profile (how Hubert Antonio Bodhert Barrios plays) · Deportes Tolima: possession-based (how Luis Fernando Suárez Guzman plays)