Primera A · Clausura - 18
Jaguares vs Bucaramanga
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:05 UTC · Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Jaguares host Bucaramanga on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jaguares 25%, draw 27%, Bucaramanga 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jaguares €178K, Bucaramanga €394K.
- Jaguares' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jaguares goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Jaguares 1445 · Bucaramanga 1743
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jaguares · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1569
Bucaramanga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1818
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jaguares
16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19
- 22 OctLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1454
- 17 OctLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1451
- 11 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1415
- 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1443
- 27 SepLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1422
Bucaramanga
13th in Primera A · 23 pts from 19
- 23 OctLChico Colombia Primera A1736
- 18 OctDAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1753
- 13 OctDÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1764
- 4 OctWJunior Colombia Primera A1745
- 26 SepWOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1710
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares | 18 /19 | 23.0 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 16th |
| Bucaramanga | 23 /19 | 31.7 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jaguares: balanced profile (how H. Bodhert plays) · Bucaramanga: balanced profile (how P. Peirano plays)