Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Jagiellonia host GKS Katowice on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Jagiellonia 50%, draw 27%, GKS Katowice 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Jagiellonia €1.2M, GKS Katowice €594K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Jagiellonia goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Jagiellonia 1797 · GKS Katowice 1711
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Jagiellonia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1831
GKS Katowice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1770
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Jagiellonia
13th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 10
- 22 OctLAnderlecht UEFA Europa League1778
- 18 OctLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1817
- 15 OctWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1801
- 10 OctLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1812
- 20 SepLLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1811
GKS Katowice
5th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 11
- 17 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1723
- 12 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1713
- 9 OctWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1688
- 19 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1658
- 12 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1701
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 12 /10 | 48.7 | <1% | 13% | 2% | 5th |
| GKS Katowice | 18 /11 | 47.9 | <1% | 10% | 2% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Jagiellonia: possession-based (how Adrian Siemieniec plays) · GKS Katowice: balanced profile (how Rafał Górak plays)