Botola Pro · Regular Season - 4
Ittihad Tanger 2–1 Maghreb Fès
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Grand Stade de Tanger, Tangier
Ittihad TangerTeam 1330
Maghreb FèsTeam 1476- mohamed saoud 74'
- Hamza El Moudene 77'
We gave Maghreb Fès 47% to win: Ittihad Tanger won.
- 2'Khalid Baba –
Maghreb Fès:Khalid Baba – - Hamza El Moudene – for Younes Najari –25'
Ittihad Tanger:Hamza El Moudene – for Younes Najari – - 32'Christopher Ibayi – assist Khalid Baba –
Maghreb Fès:Christopher Ibayi – assist Khalid Baba – - Hamza El Moudene –45'
Ittihad Tanger:Hamza El Moudene – - mohamed saoud –53'
Ittihad Tanger:mohamed saoud – - 61'Tshegofatso Mabaso for Christopher Ibayi –
Maghreb Fès:Tshegofatso Mabaso for Christopher Ibayi – - Gape Mohutsiwa –70'
Ittihad Tanger:Gape Mohutsiwa – - Haytham Bakhlakh – for Mohamed El Arouch –70'
Ittihad Tanger:Haytham Bakhlakh – for Mohamed El Arouch – - mohamed saoud –74'
Ittihad Tanger:mohamed saoud – - Abdel Maali –75'
Ittihad Tanger:Abdel Maali – - Hamza El Moudene –77'
Ittihad Tanger:Hamza El Moudene – - 77'Hamza allah ait for devin titus –
Maghreb Fès:Hamza allah ait for devin titus – - 78'Achraf Harmach –
Maghreb Fès:Achraf Harmach – - Saad Ait Khorsa – for mohamed saoud –84'
Ittihad Tanger:Saad Ait Khorsa – for mohamed saoud – - Akram El Wahabi – for Soufyan Ahannach –85'
Ittihad Tanger:Akram El Wahabi – for Soufyan Ahannach – - Ennaama El Bellali – for Abdel Maali –85'
Ittihad Tanger:Ennaama El Bellali – for Abdel Maali – - 88'Narcisse ouedraogo for Mohamed Jaouab –
Maghreb Fès:Narcisse ouedraogo for Mohamed Jaouab –
Before kick-off (provisional): 26% · 28% · 47%(Ittihad Tanger · draw · Maghreb Fès)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ittihad Tanger €260K, Maghreb Fès €409K.
- A. El Ouaad, B. Elouadghiri, M. Saoud, B. Gaddarine, Z. Kiani, E. El Bellali, A. Lamrabat, M. El Arouch, A. Maâli, F. Abdoul Mutalib and J. Rhabra (Ittihad Tanger) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ittihad Tanger
7th in Botola Pro · 4 pts from 3
- 8 JunLRenaissance Berkane Morocco Botola Pro1357
- 3 JunWWydad AC Morocco Botola Pro1304
- 22 MayWMaghreb Fès Morocco Botola Pro1245
- 10 MayDDifaa EL Jadida Morocco Botola Pro1274
- 6 MayDFUS Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1267
Maghreb Fès
2nd in Botola Pro · 7 pts from 3
- 27 SepWCR Khemis Zemamra Morocco Botola Pro1405
- 12 JunDFUS Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1405
- 9 JunDFAR Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1398
- 1 JunWOlympique Safi Morocco Botola Pro1430
- 22 MayLIttihad Tanger Morocco Botola Pro1430
Season outlook
From the Botola Pro simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger | 4 /3 | 5.0 | <1% | 26% | 0% | 10th |
| Maghreb Fès | 7 /3 | 8.7 | 53% | 84% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Maghreb Fès · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1522
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –