HNL · Regular Season - 13
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Istra 1961 host HNK Rijeka on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Istra 1961 23%, draw 27%, HNK Rijeka 51%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Istra 1961 €427K, HNK Rijeka €1.3M.
- Style contrast in attacking (HNL): Istra 1961 rank #9 of 11, HNK Rijeka #3.
- Only 2 of Istra 1961's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Istra 1961 goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Istra 1961 1559 · HNK Rijeka 1825
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Istra 1961 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1690
HNK Rijeka · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1912
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Istra 1961
6th in HNL · 12 pts from 10
- 17 OctLNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1545
- 10 OctWNK Osijek HNL1566
- 19 SepLHNK Gorica HNL1566
- 13 SepWRudes HNL1511
- 4 SepDNK Varazdin HNL1522
HNK Rijeka
5th in HNL · 17 pts from 9
- 16 OctWRudes HNL1826
- 11 OctLNK Slaven Belupo HNL1841
- 20 SepWHNK Hajduk Split HNL1819
- 12 SepDNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1821
- 5 SepWNK Osijek HNL1802
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 | 12 /10 | 41.3 | 0% | 4% | 31% | 6th |
| HNK Rijeka | 17 /9 | 64.1 | 5% | 96% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Istra 1961: balanced profile (how Javier Cabello plays) · HNK Rijeka: balanced profile (how Matjaž Kek plays)