1. Lig · Regular Season - 13
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
İstanbulspor host Mardin 1969 on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: İstanbulspor 33%, draw 29%, Mardin 1969 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: İstanbulspor €297K, Mardin 1969 €582K.
- All 11 of Mardin 1969's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. İstanbulspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: İstanbulspor 1535 · Mardin 1969 1660
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
İstanbulspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.3 (Average) · Elo 1648
Mardin 1969 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1905
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
İstanbulspor
19th in 1. Lig · 5 pts from 11
- 18 OctLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1551
- 14 OctLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1554
- 10 OctLEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1542
- 20 SepWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1547
- 14 SepLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1590
Mardin 1969
5th in 1. Lig · 18 pts from 10
- 15 OctWFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1716
- 11 OctWBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1687
- 20 SepLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1681
- 13 SepLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1605
- 7 SepWBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1622
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 5 /11 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 19th |
| Mardin 1969 | 18 /10 | 58.5 | 1% | 26% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –