1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
İstanbulspor host Keçiörengücü on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: İstanbulspor 37%, draw 29%, Keçiörengücü 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: İstanbulspor €286K, Keçiörengücü €247K.
- Home advantage makes İstanbulspor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. İstanbulspor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 2–27%
- 1–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: İstanbulspor 1548 · Keçiörengücü 1628
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
İstanbulspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1643
Keçiörengücü · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1659
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
İstanbulspor
19th in 1. Lig · 8 pts from 14
- 7 NovWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1570
- 1 NovLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1547
- 24 OctLMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1549
- 18 OctLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1548
- 14 OctLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1544
Keçiörengücü
6th in 1. Lig · 23 pts from 14
- 7 NovWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1566
- 30 OctLEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1633
- 25 OctLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1634
- 19 OctWFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 14 OctDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1637
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 8 /14 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 19th |
| Keçiörengücü | 23 /14 | 54.4 | <1% | 8% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
İstanbulspor: balanced profile (how Olcay Demir plays) · Keçiörengücü: balanced profile (how O. Korkmaz plays)