Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Irtysh 0–2 Kyzyl-Zhar
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar
IrtyshTeam 1383Kyzyl-ZharTeam 1439We gave Irtysh 37% to win: Kyzyl-Zhar won.
- 9'A. Abiken –Kyzyl-Zhar:A. Abiken –
- L. Ramos –38'Irtysh:L. Ramos –
- 46'A. Sokolenko – for A. Cheredinov –Kyzyl-Zhar:A. Sokolenko – for A. Cheredinov –
- Y. Shimamura –54'Irtysh:Y. Shimamura –
- N. Baybosynov – for D. Nyrkov –58'Irtysh:N. Baybosynov – for D. Nyrkov –
- 71'L. Latifi – (pen.)Kyzyl-Zhar:L. Latifi – (pen.)
- M. Khalmatov – for R. Yudenkov –74'Irtysh:M. Khalmatov – for R. Yudenkov –
- J. Poe – for D. Esimbekov –75'Irtysh:J. Poe – for D. Esimbekov –
- D. Slambekov –78'Irtysh:D. Slambekov –
- A. Nurlan – for Leonardo Kalil –80'Irtysh:A. Nurlan – for Leonardo Kalil –
- M. Mbodj –81'Irtysh:M. Mbodj –
- 82'E. Beugre – for S. Bahoken –Kyzyl-Zhar:E. Beugre – for S. Bahoken –
- 89'Y. Pertsukh – for E. Makarenko –Kyzyl-Zhar:Y. Pertsukh – for E. Makarenko –
- 90+3'D. Serikuly – for N. Gubarev –Kyzyl-Zhar:D. Serikuly – for N. Gubarev –
- 90+3'M. Eleukin – for L. Latifi –Kyzyl-Zhar:M. Eleukin – for L. Latifi –
- 90+6'S. Urosevic –Kyzyl-Zhar:S. Urosevic –
Before kick-off (provisional): 37% · 29% · 34%(Irtysh · draw · Kyzyl-Zhar)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Irtysh €169K, Kyzyl-Zhar €219K.
- Home advantage made Irtysh the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Irtysh
11th in Premier League · 26 pts from 25
- 18 SepWAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1295
- 13 SepWOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1272
- 5 SepLZhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League1391
- 30 AugWAktobe Kazakhstan Premier League1363
- 16 AugLFK Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League1344
Kyzyl-Zhar
12th in Premier League · 25 pts from 26
- 18 SepDKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1443
- 12 SepLZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1459
- 5 SepLAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1437
- 29 AugLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1474
- 16 AugDFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1484
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irtysh | 26 /25 | 31.1 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 11th |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 25 /26 | 30.4 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kyzyl-Zhar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1538
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –