Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 6
Ironi Tiberias 0–2 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
Ironi TiberiasTeam 1400Hapoel Beer ShevaTeam 1775- João Victor 52'
- Forson Amankwah 90+7'
We gave Hapoel Beer Sheva 66% to win: they did.
- 45'Itay Rotman – for Pedro Miguel Santos Amador –Hapoel Beer Sheva:Itay Rotman – for Pedro Miguel Santos Amador –
- 52'João Victor – assist Forson Amankwah –Hapoel Beer Sheva:João Victor – assist Forson Amankwah –
- M. Badjie – for ariel cohen –63'Ironi Tiberias:M. Badjie – for ariel cohen –
- 70'Eilel Peretz – for Hamode Kanaan –Hapoel Beer Sheva:Eilel Peretz – for Hamode Kanaan –
- 70'zahi ahmed – for guy mizrahi –Hapoel Beer Sheva:zahi ahmed – for guy mizrahi –
- 70'Amir Chaim·Ganah – for João Victor –Hapoel Beer Sheva:Amir Chaim·Ganah – for João Victor –
- Ido Sharon –71'Ironi Tiberias:Ido Sharon –
- junior nene bi gbamble – for niv gotlieb74'Ironi Tiberias:junior nene bi gbamble – for niv gotlieb
- Samir Farhud – for Artur Miranyan –74'Ironi Tiberias:Samir Farhud – for Artur Miranyan –
- 80'Mohamad Abu Rumi – for Javon East –Hapoel Beer Sheva:Mohamad Abu Rumi – for Javon East –
- 87'Eilel Peretz –Hapoel Beer Sheva:Eilel Peretz –
- bar cohen – for Eden Shamir –88'Ironi Tiberias:bar cohen – for Eden Shamir –
- 90+5'zahi ahmed –Hapoel Beer Sheva:zahi ahmed –
- 90+7'Forson Amankwah –Hapoel Beer Sheva:Forson Amankwah –
Before kick-off (provisional): 14% · 21% · 66%(Ironi Tiberias · draw · Hapoel Beer Sheva)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ironi Tiberias €234K, Hapoel Beer Sheva €1.3M.
- Ligat Ha'al: G. Mizrahi was the highest-rated defender (1997).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ironi Tiberias
14th in Ligat Ha'al · 1 pts from 5
- 19 SepLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1358
- 15 SepDHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1362
- 5 SepWMaccabi Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1425
- 29 AugLIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1378
- 18 MayWHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1337
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4th in Ligat Ha'al · 10 pts from 5
- 19 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1772
- 16 SepDDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1789
- 13 SepWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1691
- 7 SepLMaccabi Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1790
- 2 SepDHapoel Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1819
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1 /5 | 18.7 | 0% | 0% | 85% | 14th |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 10 /5 | 49.5 | 6% | 86% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ironi Tiberias · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.4 (Below) · Elo 1382
Hapoel Beer Sheva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1960
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –