Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Bnei Sakhnin
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Ironi Kiryat Shmona host Bnei Sakhnin on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligat Ha'al); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 36%, draw 29%, Bnei Sakhnin 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ironi Kiryat Shmona €334K, Bnei Sakhnin €379K.
- Home advantage makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1526 · Bnei Sakhnin 1544
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1597
Bnei Sakhnin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1649
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
13th in Ligat Ha'al · 3 pts from 7
- 17 OctLMaccabi Netanya Israeli Ligat Haal1516
- 10 OctLHapoel Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1556
- 19 SepLHapoel Beer Sheva Israeli Ligat Haal1560
- 14 SepLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1538
- 5 SepLHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1544
Bnei Sakhnin
8th in Ligat Ha'al · 8 pts from 7
- 17 OctWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1567
- 10 OctDMaccabi Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1546
- 19 SepWHapoel Ramat Gan Israeli Ligat Haal1485
- 14 SepLHapoel Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1484
- 7 SepLBeitar Jerusalem Israeli Ligat Haal1503
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 3 /7 | 25.5 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 10th |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 8 /7 | 31.2 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ironi Kiryat Shmona: balanced profile (how Shai Barda plays) · Bnei Sakhnin: low-volume (how Yosef Abukasis plays)