Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Portman Road, Ipswich
Ipswich host Nottingham Forest on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ipswich 33%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ipswich €10.8M, Nottingham Forest €22.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ipswich goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Ipswich 2152 · Nottingham Forest 2259
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ipswich · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2267
Nottingham Forest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2306
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ipswich
10th in Premier League · 9 pts from 7
- 17 OctLManchester City Premier League2172
- 10 OctWFulham Premier League2144
- 19 SepLEverton Premier League2151
- 15 SepLArsenal England League Cup2096
- 12 SepWCrystal Palace Premier League2139
Nottingham Forest
18th in Premier League · 5 pts from 7
- 18 OctLArsenal Premier League2260
- 11 OctLCrystal Palace Premier League2292
- 19 SepLCoventry Premier League2280
- 12 SepWAston Villa Premier League2278
- 5 SepDTottenham Premier League2265
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 9 /7 | 41.3 | 0% | <1% | 26% | 17th |
| Nottingham Forest | 5 /7 | 44.8 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ipswich: balanced profile (how Gary Paul O'Neil plays) · Nottingham Forest: balanced profile (how Oliver Glasner plays)