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Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Ipswich 2–1 Fulham

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich

Ipswich crestIpswichTeam 2131
2–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Fulham crestFulhamTeam 2241

Match story

Ipswich · draw · Fulham

Before kick-off: 34% · 26% · 40%

Live chances: Ipswich 100%, draw 0%, Fulham 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 40%3' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 39%4' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 39%6' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 39%7' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 39%8' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 27%, Fulham 39%10' · 0–0 · Ipswich 34%, draw 28%, Fulham 39%11' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 28%, Fulham 39%12' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 28%, Fulham 39%14' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 28%, Fulham 38%15' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 28%, Fulham 38%16' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 29%, Fulham 38%17' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 29%, Fulham 38%19' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 29%, Fulham 38%20' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 29%, Fulham 38%21' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 29%, Fulham 38%22' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 30%, Fulham 38%23' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 30%, Fulham 37%25' · 0–0 · Ipswich 33%, draw 30%, Fulham 37%26' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 30%, Fulham 37%28' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 31%, Fulham 37%29' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 31%, Fulham 37%30' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 31%, Fulham 37%31' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 32%, Fulham 36%32' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 32%, Fulham 36%33' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 32%, Fulham 36%35' · 0–0 · Ipswich 32%, draw 33%, Fulham 36%36' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 33%, Fulham 36%38' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 33%, Fulham 35%39' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 34%, Fulham 35%40' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 34%, Fulham 35%41' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 34%, Fulham 35%42' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 35%, Fulham 35%43' · 0–0 · Ipswich 31%, draw 35%, Fulham 34%44' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 35%, Fulham 34%45' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 36%, Fulham 34%45+1' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 36%, Fulham 34%45+2' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 36%, Fulham 34%45+4' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 37%, Fulham 33%45+5' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 37%, Fulham 33%HT · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 37%, Fulham 33%46' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 37%, Fulham 33%47' · 0–0 · Ipswich 30%, draw 37%, Fulham 33%48' · 0–0 · Ipswich 29%, draw 38%, Fulham 33%49' · 0–0 · Ipswich 29%, draw 38%, Fulham 33%50' · 0–0 · Ipswich 29%, draw 39%, Fulham 32%52' · 0–0 · Ipswich 28%, draw 40%, Fulham 32%53' · 0–0 · Ipswich 28%, draw 40%, Fulham 31%54' · 0–0 · Ipswich 28%, draw 41%, Fulham 31%55' · 0–0 · Ipswich 28%, draw 42%, Fulham 31%56' · 0–1 · Ipswich 9%, draw 23%, Fulham 69%57' · 0–1 · Ipswich 8%, draw 23%, Fulham 69%58' · 0–1 · Ipswich 8%, draw 23%, Fulham 69%59' · 0–1 · Ipswich 8%, draw 23%, Fulham 70%60' · 0–1 · Ipswich 8%, draw 22%, Fulham 70%61' · 0–1 · Ipswich 7%, draw 22%, Fulham 70%62' · 0–1 · Ipswich 7%, draw 22%, Fulham 71%63' · 0–1 · Ipswich 7%, draw 22%, Fulham 71%64' · 0–1 · Ipswich 7%, draw 22%, Fulham 72%65' · 0–1 · Ipswich 6%, draw 22%, Fulham 72%66' · 0–1 · Ipswich 6%, draw 22%, Fulham 72%67' · 0–1 · Ipswich 6%, draw 21%, Fulham 73%68' · 0–1 · Ipswich 6%, draw 21%, Fulham 73%69' · 0–1 · Ipswich 5%, draw 21%, Fulham 74%70' · 0–1 · Ipswich 5%, draw 21%, Fulham 74%71' · 0–1 · Ipswich 5%, draw 20%, Fulham 75%72' · 0–1 · Ipswich 5%, draw 20%, Fulham 75%73' · 0–1 · Ipswich 4%, draw 20%, Fulham 76%74' · 0–1 · Ipswich 4%, draw 20%, Fulham 76%75' · 0–1 · Ipswich 4%, draw 19%, Fulham 77%76' · 0–1 · Ipswich 4%, draw 19%, Fulham 78%77' · 0–1 · Ipswich 3%, draw 18%, Fulham 78%79' · 0–1 · Ipswich 3%, draw 17%, Fulham 80%80' · 0–1 · Ipswich 3%, draw 17%, Fulham 81%81' · 0–1 · Ipswich 2%, draw 16%, Fulham 81%82' · 0–1 · Ipswich 2%, draw 16%, Fulham 82%83' · 0–1 · Ipswich 2%, draw 15%, Fulham 83%84' · 0–1 · Ipswich 2%, draw 15%, Fulham 84%85' · 0–1 · Ipswich 1%, draw 14%, Fulham 85%86' · 0–1 · Ipswich 1%, draw 13%, Fulham 86%87' · 0–1 · Ipswich 1%, draw 12%, Fulham 87%88' · 0–1 · Ipswich 1%, draw 11%, Fulham 88%89' · 1–1 · Ipswich 10%, draw 80%, Fulham 11%90' · 1–1 · Ipswich 9%, draw 82%, Fulham 9%90+1' · 1–1 · Ipswich 8%, draw 84%, Fulham 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Ipswich 6%, draw 87%, Fulham 7%90+3' · 2–1 · Ipswich 95%, draw 5%, Fulham 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Ipswich 96%, draw 4%, Fulham 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Ipswich 98%, draw 2%, Fulham 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Ipswich 99%, draw 1%, Fulham 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Ipswich 100%, draw 0%, Fulham 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Fulham 40% to win: Ipswich won.

  1. 19'Ipswich:Leif Davis 2220 +5*
  2. 44'Fulham:Josh King 1820 −8*
  3. 51'Fulham:Calvin Bassey 2312 −24*
  4. 55'Fulham:Ryan Sessegnon 2284 −20*
  5. 63'Ipswich:Exequiel Palacios 2265 −1* for Florentino Luís 2067 +6*
  6. 63'Ipswich:Jack Clarke 2113 −2* for Jaden Philogene-Bidace 2129 +4*
  7. 71'Ipswich:Chuba Akpom 1948 −5* for Julio Enciso 2232 +2*
  8. 71'Ipswich:Zian Flemming 2032 −4* for Emersonn 1979 +12*
  9. 71'Fulham:Manuel Ángel Morán 1599 −8* for Shea Charles 2262 −2
  10. 76'Fulham:Rodrigo Muniz 2241 −8* for Josh King 1820 −8*
  11. 76'Fulham:Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo 2236 −8* for Oscar Bobb 2132 0
  12. 81'Ipswich:Sindre Walle Egeli 2007 −5* for Daizen Maeda 2180 +4*
  13. 84'Fulham:Manuel Ángel Morán 1599 −8*
  14. 87'Fulham:Hugo Larsson 2143 0 for Gonzalo García 1993 −8*
  15. 87'Fulham:Emile Smith Rowe 2326 −8* for Alex Iwobi 2261 −18*
  16. 88'Ipswich:Abdoul Ouattara 2111 +45*
  17. 90+1'Ipswich:Dara O'Shea 2271 +29 assist Jack Clarke 2113 −2*
  18. 90+4'Fulham:Emile Smith Rowe 2326 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GC. Walton2144+8*
DA. Ouattara2111+45*
DI. Diop2251+22*
DD. O'Shea2271+29
DL. Davis2220+5*
MS. Lukić2189+39
MFlorentino2067+6*
MD. Maeda2180+4*
MJ. Enciso2232+2*
MJ. Philogene2129+4*
FEmersonn1979+12*
CG. O'Neil2182+20*
GB. Leno2255−13*
DK. Tete2261−13*
DD. Affengruber21330
DC. Bassey2312−24*
DR. Sessegnon2284−20*
MS. Berge2420−13
MS. Charles2262−2
MOscar Bobb21320
MJoshua King1820−8*
MA. Iwobi2261−18*
FGonzalo García1993−8*
CÁlvaro Arbeloa2317−19*
Before kick-off: 34% · 26% · 40%(Ipswich · draw · Fulham)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Ipswich €9.0M, Fulham €15.5M.
  • Ipswich were without 1 expected starter: A. Fatawu (2020).
  • Home advantage made Ipswich the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Ipswich

11th in Premier League · 6 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLEverton 2151
  • 15 SepLArsenal 2096
  • 12 SepWCrystal Palace 2139
  • 4 SepLLiverpool 2162
  • 30 AugLManchester United 2160

Fulham

19th in Premier League · 2 pts from 5

  • 20 SepDManchester United 2186
  • 15 SepWWest Ham 2118
  • 12 SepDLiverpool 2167
  • 5 SepLCrystal Palace 2111
  • 30 AugLSunderland 2148

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Ipswich6 /540.70%<1%35%18th
Fulham2 /537.80%<1%49%19th
Ipswich
Fulham

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. O'Shea
D. O'Shea

Ipswich · +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2243

C. Bassey
C. Bassey

Fulham · +2.1 (Good) · Elo 2337

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gary Paul O'Neil

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Alvaro Arbeloa

Coach DNA: creative · possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Ipswich: balanced profile (how Gary Paul O'Neil plays) · Fulham: balanced profile (how Alvaro Arbeloa plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.