Serie A · Regular Season - 36
Internacional vs Vitoria
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre
Internacional host Vitoria on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Internacional 53%, draw 26%, Vitoria 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Internacional €3.1M, Vitoria €2.0M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Série A): Internacional rank #4 of 20, Vitoria #20.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Internacional goals first.
- 1–013%
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–17%
- Other scores40%
Team Elo: Internacional 1896 · Vitoria 1833
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Internacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1979
Vitoria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1917
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Internacional
16th in Série A · 38 pts from 34
- 4 NovWCoritiba Brazil Serie A1887
- 28 OctLFluminense Brazil Serie A1887
- 24 OctWBotafogo Brazil Serie A1855
- 16 OctLMirassol Brazil Serie A1905
- 11 OctDGremio Brazil Serie A1885
Vitoria
15th in Série A · 38 pts from 34
- 6 NovLFluminense Brazil Serie A1893
- 31 OctLCoritiba Brazil Serie A1829
- 24 OctDAtletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A1876
- 19 OctDCorinthians Brazil Serie A1877
- 11 OctLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1876
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 38 /34 | 43.1 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 17th |
| Vitoria | 38 /34 | 42.7 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Baptista plays) · Vitoria: direct (how Ventura Jair plays)