Serie A · Regular Season - 34
Internacional vs Coritiba
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre
Internacional host Coritiba on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Internacional 57%, draw 24%, Coritiba 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Internacional €2.8M, Coritiba €894K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Internacional goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Internacional 1880 · Coritiba 1771
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Internacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1957

Coritiba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1720
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Internacional
17th in Série A · 32 pts from 31
- 16 OctLMirassol Brazil Serie A1903
- 11 OctDGremio Brazil Serie A1884
- 7 OctWCorinthians Brazil Serie A1873
- 20 SepLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1854
- 6 SepLSantos Brazil Serie A1892
Coritiba
12th in Série A · 39 pts from 31
- 17 OctLAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1770
- 12 OctDBotafogo Brazil Serie A1777
- 9 OctLFluminense Brazil Serie A1827
- 19 SepLVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1742
- 12 SepDAtletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A1816
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 32 /31 | 41.4 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 17th |
| Coritiba | 39 /31 | 45.9 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Baptista plays) · Coritiba: balanced profile (how Fernando Seabra plays)