Serie A · Regular Season - 29
Internacional 2–1 Corinthians
Wed 7 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre
InternacionalTeam 1832CorinthiansTeam 1926We gave Internacional 40% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 40% · 29% · 31%(Internacional · draw · Corinthians)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Internacional €2.5M, Corinthians €3.6M.
- Internacional were without 1 expected starter: Matheus Bahia (1938).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Internacional
18th in Série A · 28 pts from 28
- 20 SepLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1854
- 6 SepLSantos Brazil Serie A1892
- 3 SepLGremio Brazil Copa do Brasil1892
- 30 AugLBahia Brazil Serie A1901
- 27 AugDGremio Brazil Copa do Brasil1926
Corinthians
14th in Série A · 32 pts from 28
- 20 SepLFluminense Brazil Serie A1916
- 17 SepLEstudiantes L.P. Copa Libertadores1916
- 13 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1803
- 10 SepDEstudiantes L.P. Copa Libertadores1920
- 6 SepLChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1926
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 28 /28 | 41.5 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 18th |
| Corinthians | 32 /28 | 44.0 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Internacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1813
Corinthians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.5 (Good) · Elo 1850
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Internacional: balanced profile (how Paulo César Pezzolano Suárez plays) · Corinthians: balanced profile (how Fernando Diniz Silva plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.