Serie A · Regular Season - 32
Internacional vs Botafogo
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre
Internacional host Botafogo on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Internacional 47%, draw 28%, Botafogo 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Internacional €2.9M, Botafogo €5.4M.
- Home advantage makes Internacional the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Internacional goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Internacional 1880 · Botafogo 1895
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Internacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1957
Botafogo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1981
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Internacional
17th in Série A · 32 pts from 31
- 16 OctLMirassol Brazil Serie A1903
- 11 OctDGremio Brazil Serie A1884
- 7 OctWCorinthians Brazil Serie A1873
- 20 SepLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1854
- 6 SepLSantos Brazil Serie A1892
Botafogo
11th in Série A · 39 pts from 31
- 17 OctWChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1855
- 12 OctDCoritiba Brazil Serie A1892
- 7 OctLVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1943
- 19 SepLMirassol Brazil Serie A1938
- 16 SepWGremio Brazil Serie A1879
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 32 /31 | 41.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 17th |
| Botafogo | 39 /31 | 48.3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Alexandre Baptista plays) · Botafogo: balanced profile (how Adenor Leonardo Bacchi plays)