Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 27
Inter Turku 1–0 KuPS
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Veritas Stadium, Turku
Inter TurkuTeam 1480KuPSTeam 1540We gave Inter Turku 37% to win: they did.
- Luka Kuittinen 1690 +235'Inter Turku:Luka Kuittinen 1690 +23
- Eeli Kiiskilä 1345 +2712'Inter Turku:Eeli Kiiskilä 1345 +27
- 24'Clinton Antwi 1655 −11KuPS:Clinton Antwi 1655 −11
- 45+2'Valentin Gasc 1633 −9KuPS:Valentin Gasc 1633 −9
- 55'Ayman Aiki 1398 0 for Bob Nii Armah 1655 −6KuPS:Ayman Aiki 1398 0 for Bob Nii Armah 1655 −6
- 60'Brahima Magassa 1163 −2KuPS:Brahima Magassa 1163 −2
- 62'Taneli Hämäläinen 1644 −3 for Tommi Jyry 1636 −6KuPS:Taneli Hämäläinen 1644 −3 for Tommi Jyry 1636 −6
- Herman Sjögrell 1323 +20 for Lauri Laine 1342 +2167'Inter Turku:Herman Sjögrell 1323 +20 for Lauri Laine 1342 +21
- Clinton Degol Jephta 1579 +41 assist Herman Sjögrell 1323 +2079'Inter Turku:Clinton Degol Jephta 1579 +41 assist Herman Sjögrell 1323 +20
- 79'Piotr Parzyszek 1574 −5 for Jaime Moreno 1562 −5KuPS:Piotr Parzyszek 1574 −5 for Jaime Moreno 1562 −5
- 79'Julius Eskesen 1344 −1 for Saikou Touray 1546 −9*KuPS:Julius Eskesen 1344 −1 for Saikou Touray 1546 −9*
- 79'Saku Savolainen 1600 −3 for Akseli Puukko 1384 −8*KuPS:Saku Savolainen 1600 −3 for Akseli Puukko 1384 −8*
- Johannes Yli-Kokko 1476 −6* for Eeli Kiiskilä 1345 +2784'Inter Turku:Johannes Yli-Kokko 1476 −6* for Eeli Kiiskilä 1345 +27
- 87'Miika NuutinenKuPS:Miika Nuutinen
- Jean Botué 1478 0 for Alie Conteh 1393 +2590'Inter Turku:Jean Botué 1478 0 for Alie Conteh 1393 +25
- Iiro Järvinen 1134 −9* for Jasse Tuominen 1573 +1290'Inter Turku:Iiro Järvinen 1134 −9* for Jasse Tuominen 1573 +12
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 30% · 32%(Inter Turku · draw · KuPS)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Inter Turku €252K, KuPS €299K.
- Home advantage made Inter Turku the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Veikkausliiga: R. Ivanov was the highest-rated defender (1680).
- Veikkausliiga: J. Kreidl was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1667).
- Style contrast in attacking (Veikkausliiga): Inter Turku ranked #3 of 9, KuPS #6.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter Turku
2nd in Veikkausliiga · 42 pts from 22
- 7 OctDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1550
- 18 SepWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1535
- 14 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1504
- 9 SepLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1507
- 31 AugWKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1495
KuPS
1st in Veikkausliiga · 43 pts from 22
- 8 OctLAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1605
- 19 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1548
- 13 SepDHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1505
- 8 SepDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1572
- 31 AugLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1567
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | 49 /26 | 58.0 | 45% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| KuPS | 48 /26 | 57.3 | 40% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Inter Turku · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1668
KuPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1468
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter Turku: balanced profile (how Vesa-Pekka Vasara plays) · KuPS: possession-based (how Miika Nuutinen plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.