Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 28
Inter Turku 1–2 AC Oulu
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Veritas Stadium, Turku
Inter TurkuTeam 1499
AC OuluTeam 1315Match story
Inter Turku · draw · AC OuluBefore kick-off: 58% · 25% · 18%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 5% · 95%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Herman Sjögrell 74'
- Rasmus Karjalainen 31'
- Juuso Mäkeläinen 90+2'
We gave Inter Turku 58% to win: AC Oulu won.
- 31'Rasmus Karjalainen 1443 +37 assist Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo 1402 +69
AC Oulu:Rasmus Karjalainen 1443 +37 assist Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo 1402 +69 - Johannes Yli-Kokko 1476 0 for Jasse Tuominen 1568 −558'
Inter Turku:Johannes Yli-Kokko 1476 0 for Jasse Tuominen 1568 −5 - Herman Sjögrell 1323 0 for Lauri Laine 1342 058'
Inter Turku:Herman Sjögrell 1323 0 for Lauri Laine 1342 0 - 69'Roope Riski 1267 +16 for Rasmus Karjalainen 1443 +37
AC Oulu:Roope Riski 1267 +16 for Rasmus Karjalainen 1443 +37 - 69'Juuso Mäkeläinen 1139 +35 for Joel lotvonen 1206 +37
AC Oulu:Juuso Mäkeläinen 1139 +35 for Joel lotvonen 1206 +37 - Herman Sjögrell 1323 0 assist Jussi Niska 1672 −1874'
Inter Turku:Herman Sjögrell 1323 0 assist Jussi Niska 1672 −18 - Iiro Järvinen 1132 −2 for Eeli Kiiskilä 1345 080'
Inter Turku:Iiro Järvinen 1132 −2 for Eeli Kiiskilä 1345 0 - 80'Lamine Ghezali 1427 +3 for Elias Kallio 1412 +18
AC Oulu:Lamine Ghezali 1427 +3 for Elias Kallio 1412 +18 - Julius Tauriainen 1128 0 for Albin Granlund 1432 −1080'
Inter Turku:Julius Tauriainen 1128 0 for Albin Granlund 1432 −10 - 86'Miguel Santos 1450 +14
AC Oulu:Miguel Santos 1450 +14 - 86'Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo 1402 +69
AC Oulu:Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo 1402 +69 - 87'Johannes Pentti 993 −5* for Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo 1402 +69
AC Oulu:Johannes Pentti 993 −5* for Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo 1402 +69 - Jean Botué 1478 0 for Janne-Pekka Laine 1593 −789'
Inter Turku:Jean Botué 1478 0 for Janne-Pekka Laine 1593 −7 - 90+2'Juuso Mäkeläinen 1139 +35 assist Roope Riski 1267 +16
AC Oulu:Juuso Mäkeläinen 1139 +35 assist Roope Riski 1267 +16
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 58% · 25% · 18%(Inter Turku · draw · AC Oulu)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Inter Turku €247K, AC Oulu €176K.
- Veikkausliiga: E. Huuhtanen was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1666).
- Style contrast in attacking (Veikkausliiga): Inter Turku ranked #3 of 9, AC Oulu #9.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter Turku
2nd in Veikkausliiga · 42 pts from 22
- 11 OctWKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1519
- 7 OctDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1550
- 18 SepWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1535
- 14 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1504
- 9 SepLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1507
AC Oulu
5th in Veikkausliiga · 34 pts from 22
- 12 OctLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1385
- 8 OctWKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1340
- 18 SepLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1393
- 12 SepLGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1380
- 8 SepLVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1381
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | 52 /27 | 59.6 | 62% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| AC Oulu | 37 /27 | 42.2 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Inter Turku · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1690

AC Oulu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1436
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter Turku: balanced profile (how Vesa-Pekka Vasara plays) · AC Oulu: balanced profile (how Mikko Isokangas plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.