Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale
Inter Miami host FC Cincinnati on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Inter Miami 62%, draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Inter Miami €4.5M, FC Cincinnati €2.7M.
- MLS: D. St. Clair is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2159).
- Inter Miami's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.8 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Inter Miami's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Inter Miami goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Inter Miami 2131 · FC Cincinnati 1922
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Inter Miami · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +11.3 (Elite) · Elo 2124
FC Cincinnati · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1960
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter Miami
2nd in MLS · 55 pts from 30
- 17 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS2103
- 14 OctWNew York City FC MLS2088
- 10 OctWDC United MLS2083
- 27 SepLColumbus Crew MLS2092
- 12 SepDNashville SC MLS2120
FC Cincinnati
9th in MLS · 36 pts from 28
- 18 OctLColumbus Crew MLS1977
- 14 OctLNew England Revolution MLS1935
- 10 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS1920
- 26 SepLCF Montreal MLS1880
- 20 SepDHouston Dynamo MLS1934
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 55 /30 | 62.3 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 2nd |
| FC Cincinnati | 36 /28 | 42.5 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter Miami: possession-based (how Kily Gonzalez plays) · FC Cincinnati: dribble-heavy (how Patrick John Noonan plays)