Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28
Inter Miami 4–0 DC United
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Nu Stadium, Miami
Inter MiamiTeam 2110
DC UnitedTeam 1822Match story
Inter Miami · draw · DC UnitedBefore kick-off: 74% · 13% · 13%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Luis Suárez 3', 39'
- Lionel Messi 47', 60'
We gave Inter Miami 74% to win: they did.
- Luis Suárez 1847 +3* assist Germán Berterame 2164 +8*3'
Inter Miami:Luis Suárez 1847 +3* assist Germán Berterame 2164 +8* - Luis Suárez 1847 +3* assist Germán Berterame 2164 +8*39'
Inter Miami:Luis Suárez 1847 +3* assist Germán Berterame 2164 +8* - Lionel Messi 2096 −1* assist Luis Suárez 1847 +3*47'
Inter Miami:Lionel Messi 2096 −1* assist Luis Suárez 1847 +3* - 56'Nathan Ordaz 1874 −2 for Jackson Hopkins 1735 −8*
DC United:Nathan Ordaz 1874 −2 for Jackson Hopkins 1735 −8* - 56'Matti Peltola 1869 −2 for Nikola Marković 1583 −8*
DC United:Matti Peltola 1869 −2 for Nikola Marković 1583 −8* - Lionel Messi 2096 −1* assist Rodrigo De Paul 2180 +1*60'
Inter Miami:Lionel Messi 2096 −1* assist Rodrigo De Paul 2180 +1* - Riquelme Fillipi 1611 −1* for Luis Suárez 1847 +3*61'
Inter Miami:Riquelme Fillipi 1611 −1* for Luis Suárez 1847 +3* - 68'Silvan Hefti 1840 −9* for Hosei Kijima 1654 −8*
DC United:Silvan Hefti 1840 −9* for Hosei Kijima 1654 −8* - 68'Brandon Servania 1812 −9* for Andre Dozzell 1939 −15*
DC United:Brandon Servania 1812 −9* for Andre Dozzell 1939 −15* - Telasco Segovia 2186 −4* for David Ayala 1904 +2*70'
Inter Miami:Telasco Segovia 2186 −4* for David Ayala 1904 +2* - Maximiliano Falcon 2190 −6* for Micael dos Santos Silva 2207 +3*70'
Inter Miami:Maximiliano Falcon 2190 −6* for Micael dos Santos Silva 2207 +3* - Ian Fray 2137 −5* for Sergio Reguilón 2076 +10*78'
Inter Miami:Ian Fray 2137 −5* for Sergio Reguilón 2076 +10* - Alexander Shaw 1823 −3* for Rodrigo De Paul 2180 +1*78'
Inter Miami:Alexander Shaw 1823 −3* for Rodrigo De Paul 2180 +1* - 80'Jared Stroud 1660 −10* for João Gabriel Martins Peglow 1814 −9*
DC United:Jared Stroud 1660 −10* for João Gabriel Martins Peglow 1814 −9*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 74% · 13% · 13%(Inter Miami · draw · DC United)
Our most likely score was 3–1 (7%); the result 4–0 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Inter Miami €4.2M, DC United €1.3M.
- Inter Miami were without 2 expected starters: Y. Bright (2194) and F. Mura (2035).
- DC United were without 1 expected starter: L. Munteanu (1829).
- Largest team-Elo gap of MLS matchday 28: 235 points.
- Draw chance was 21%, below the MLS average of 27% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter Miami
3rd in MLS · 46 pts from 27
- 27 SepLColumbus Crew MLS2092
- 12 SepDNashville SC MLS2120
- 10 SepDChicago Fire MLS2122
- 5 SepDAtlanta United FC MLS2137
- 29 AugWCF Montreal MLS2141
DC United
11th in MLS · 30 pts from 26
- 27 SepDVancouver Whitecaps MLS1840
- 19 SepLCharlotte MLS1870
- 12 SepDAtlanta United FC MLS1889
- 9 SepWColumbus Crew MLS1864
- 29 AugDLos Angeles FC MLS1853
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 46 /27 | 58.7 | <1% | 60% | 0% | 2nd |
| DC United | 30 /26 | 39.4 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 25th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Inter Miami · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +10.3 (Elite) · Elo 2097

DC United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1973
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter Miami: possession-based (how Kily Gonzalez plays) · DC United: direct · high-pressing (how René Weiler plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.