Major League Soccer · Round of 16
Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Nu Stadium
Inter Miami host Columbus Crew on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Inter Miami 49%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Inter Miami €4.2M, Columbus Crew €3.2M.
- MLS: Micael is the highest-rated defender (2179).
- Inter Miami's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Inter Miami's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Columbus Crew have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Inter Miami goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–28%
- 2–06%
- 3–16%
- 1–26%
- Other scores53%
Team Elo: Inter Miami 2091 · Columbus Crew 2040
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Inter Miami · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +9.9 (Elite) · Elo 2078
Columbus Crew · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2124
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter Miami
2nd in MLS · 60 pts from 34
- 7 NovDCharlotte MLS2106
- 2 NovWNew England Revolution MLS2101
- 28 OctDFC Cincinnati MLS2100
- 24 OctLNew York Red Bulls MLS2070
- 17 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS2095
Columbus Crew
7th in MLS · 47 pts from 34
- 7 NovWChicago Fire MLS2027
- 31 OctWDC United MLS2013
- 29 OctWFC Dallas MLS2004
- 24 OctWToronto FC MLS1973
- 18 OctWFC Cincinnati MLS1946
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 60 /34 | 62.9 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
| Columbus Crew | 47 /34 | 49.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter Miami: possession-based (how Kily Gonzalez plays) · Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays)