Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
Inter Miami vs Charlotte
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale
Inter Miami host Charlotte on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Inter Miami 57%, draw 25%, Charlotte 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Inter Miami €4.6M, Charlotte €2.1M.
- MLS: D. St. Clair is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2159).
- Inter Miami's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.8 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Inter Miami's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Inter Miami goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Inter Miami 2124 · Charlotte 1983
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Inter Miami · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +11.3 (Elite) · Elo 2124
Charlotte · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1939
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Inter Miami
2nd in MLS · 55 pts from 30
- 17 OctWAtlanta United FC MLS2103
- 14 OctWNew York City FC MLS2088
- 10 OctWDC United MLS2083
- 27 SepLColumbus Crew MLS2092
- 12 SepDNashville SC MLS2120
Charlotte
5th in MLS · 47 pts from 30
- 17 OctDPhiladelphia Union MLS1955
- 14 OctLColumbus Crew MLS1995
- 10 OctWFC Dallas MLS1996
- 26 SepLChicago Fire MLS1960
- 19 SepWDC United MLS1985
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 55 /30 | 62.2 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 2nd |
| Charlotte | 47 /30 | 53.1 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Inter Miami: possession-based (how Kily Gonzalez plays) · Charlotte: low-block (how Dean Smith plays)