Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Instituto Cordoba 2–2 Boca Juniors
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Presidente Peron, Avellaneda
Instituto CordobaTeam 1734Boca JuniorsTeam 1940- Fernando Alarcon 14'
- Jonathan Galván 48'
- Enner Valencia 23'
- Miguel Merentiel 56'
We gave Boca Juniors 44% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Fernando Alarcon14'Instituto Cordoba:Fernando Alarcon
- Gustavo Abregú22'Instituto Cordoba:Gustavo Abregú
- 23'Enner ValenciaBoca Juniors:Enner Valencia
- Giuliano Cerato off45'Instituto Cordoba:Giuliano Cerato off
- Jonathan Galván48'Instituto Cordoba:Jonathan Galván
- 53'Williams AlarcónBoca Juniors:Williams Alarcón
- 55'Milton Delgado offBoca Juniors:Milton Delgado off
- 55'Enner Valencia offBoca Juniors:Enner Valencia off
- 56'Miguel MerentielBoca Juniors:Miguel Merentiel
- Matías Tissera off71'Instituto Cordoba:Matías Tissera off
- Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro off71'Instituto Cordoba:Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro off
- 71'Leandro Paredes offBoca Juniors:Leandro Paredes off
- 71'Sebastián Villa offBoca Juniors:Sebastián Villa off
- 76'Malcon BraidaBoca Juniors:Malcon Braida
- 79'Santiago AscacibarBoca Juniors:Santiago Ascacibar
- Alex Luna79'Instituto Cordoba:Alex Luna
- Fernando Alarcon80'Instituto Cordoba:Fernando Alarcon
- Matías Gallardo85'Instituto Cordoba:Matías Gallardo
- Alex Luna off88'Instituto Cordoba:Alex Luna off
- Matías Gallardo off88'Instituto Cordoba:Matías Gallardo off
Before kick-off (provisional): 27% · 28% · 44%(Instituto Cordoba · draw · Boca Juniors)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Instituto Cordoba €673K, Boca Juniors €3.6M.
- Boca Juniors were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Instituto Cordoba
9th in Liga Profesional · 21 pts from 16
- 2 OctWIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1720
- 20 SepWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1705
- 15 SepWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1691
- 8 SepLUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1724
- 1 SepWSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1696
Boca Juniors
2nd in Liga Profesional · 30 pts from 16
- 3 OctWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1977
- 20 SepWSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1946
- 16 SepDSao Paulo Copa Sudamericana1945
- 12 SepWCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1855
- 9 SepWSao Paulo Copa Sudamericana1916
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto Cordoba | 21 /16 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18th |
| Boca Juniors | 30 /16 | 38.6 | 10% | 61% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Instituto Cordoba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1757
Boca Juniors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2050
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Instituto Cordoba: balanced profile (how Diego Flores plays) · Boca Juniors: possession-based (how Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena plays)