Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Independiente host Deportivo Riestra on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Independiente 54%, draw 26%, Deportivo Riestra 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Independiente €817K, Deportivo Riestra €481K.
- All 11 of Deportivo Riestra's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Independiente goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Independiente 1751 · Deportivo Riestra 1617
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Independiente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1823
Deportivo Riestra · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1659
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Independiente
5th in Liga Profesional · 24 pts from 16
- 18 OctDRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1740
- 12 OctDTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1740
- 2 OctLInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1761
- 19 SepWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1741
- 13 SepDSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1763
Deportivo Riestra
15th in Liga Profesional · 11 pts from 16
- 20 OctDUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1641
- 11 OctLSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1654
- 5 OctDCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1640
- 19 SepDGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1626
- 14 SepLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1666
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 24 /16 | 28.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 11th |
| Deportivo Riestra | 11 /16 | 14.0 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 28th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Independiente: balanced profile (how Jádson Viera plays) · Deportivo Riestra: direct (how Guillermo Duró plays)