Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
Independiente vs Boca Juniors
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Independiente host Boca Juniors on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Independiente 29%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Independiente €822K, Boca Juniors €3.3M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Independiente goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Independiente 1751 · Boca Juniors 1936
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Independiente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1823
Boca Juniors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1911
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Independiente
5th in Liga Profesional · 24 pts from 16
- 18 OctDRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1740
- 12 OctDTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1740
- 2 OctLInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1761
- 19 SepWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1741
- 13 SepDSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1763
Boca Juniors
2nd in Liga Profesional · 30 pts from 16
- 17 OctWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1928
- 14 OctLVasco Da Gama Copa Sudamericana1928
- 9 OctDInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1924
- 3 OctWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1977
- 20 SepWSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1946
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 24 /16 | 28.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 12th |
| Boca Juniors | 30 /16 | 34.8 | 9% | 61% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Independiente: balanced profile (how Jádson Viera Castro plays) · Boca Juniors: possession-based (how Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena plays)