Primera División · Apertura - 25
Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Independiente Petrolero host Real Tomayapo on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Independiente Petrolero 41%, draw 29%, Real Tomayapo 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Independiente Petrolero €143K, Real Tomayapo €135K.
- Home advantage makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Independiente Petrolero goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Independiente Petrolero 1310 · Real Tomayapo 1316
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Independiente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1461
Real Tomayapo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.3 (Average) · Elo 1423
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Independiente Petrolero
11th in Primera División · 26 pts from 22
- 17 OctDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1273
- 12 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1261
- 18 SepLSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1256
- 13 SepLUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1376
- 6 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1334
Real Tomayapo
15th in Primera División · 20 pts from 22
- 17 OctWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1250
- 9 OctDSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1306
- 17 SepLOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1299
- 14 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1308
- 6 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1277
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 26 /22 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 10th |
| Real Tomayapo | 20 /22 | 27.4 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Independiente Petrolero: balanced profile (how J. Grass plays) · Real Tomayapo: balanced profile (how J. Alfonso plays)