Primera División · Apertura - 27
Independiente Petrolero vs Real Oruro
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Independiente Petrolero host Real Oruro on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Independiente Petrolero 41%, draw 29%, Real Oruro 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Independiente Petrolero €145K, Real Oruro €105K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Independiente Petrolero goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–29%
- 2–18%
- 1–27%
- 1–05%
- 2–05%
- Other scores54%
Team Elo: Independiente Petrolero 1294 · Real Oruro 1292
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Independiente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1358
Real Oruro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1382
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Independiente Petrolero
11th in Primera División · 30 pts from 25
- 6 NovLReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1277
- 30 OctDReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1309
- 24 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1252
- 17 OctDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1249
- 12 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1240
Real Oruro
10th in Primera División · 31 pts from 25
- 7 NovWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1252
- 31 OctDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1246
- 25 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1241
- 17 OctWAurora Bolivia Primera Division1216
- 10 OctWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1199
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 30 /25 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
| Real Oruro | 31 /25 | 35.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Independiente Petrolero: balanced profile (how J. Grass plays) · Real Oruro: balanced profile (how Marcelo Robledo plays)