Primera División · Apertura - 23
Independiente Petrolero vs ABB
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Independiente Petrolero host ABB on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Independiente Petrolero 44%, draw 28%, ABB 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Independiente Petrolero €132K, ABB €131K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Primera División): Independiente Petrolero rank #1 of 16, ABB #13.
- ABB's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Independiente Petrolero goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Independiente Petrolero 1312 · ABB 1275
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Independiente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1461
ABB · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1362
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Independiente Petrolero
11th in Primera División · 26 pts from 22
- 17 OctDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1273
- 12 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1261
- 18 SepLSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1256
- 13 SepLUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1376
- 6 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1334
ABB
14th in Primera División · 20 pts from 22
- 16 OctLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1263
- 10 OctLOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1294
- 15 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1300
- 12 SepLBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1296
- 4 SepWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1285
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 26 /22 | 33.4 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 11th |
| ABB | 20 /22 | 26.8 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Independiente Petrolero: balanced profile (how J. Grass plays) · ABB: balanced profile (how Walter Flores plays)