K League 1 · Regular Season - 31
Incheon United 3–0 Pohang Steelers
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Incheon Football Stadium, Incheon
Incheon UnitedTeam 1543Pohang SteelersTeam 1568We gave Incheon United 39% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 39% · 29% · 32%(Incheon United · draw · Pohang Steelers)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Incheon United €246K, Pohang Steelers €333K.
- Home advantage made Incheon United the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Incheon United
8th in K League 1 · 39 pts from 30
- 27 SepDGangwon FC K League 11500
- 20 SepDDaejeon Citizen K League 11538
- 12 SepLUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11525
- 8 SepWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11540
- 5 SepLFC Seoul K League 11540
Pohang Steelers
7th in K League 1 · 40 pts from 30
- 20 SepWFC Seoul K League 11497
- 15 SepLBeijing Guoan AFC Champions League1464
- 12 SepDDaejeon Citizen K League 11548
- 9 SepDGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11484
- 5 SepLJeonbuk Motors K League 11554
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | 39 /30 | 42.8 | 0% | 3% | 1% | 8th |
| Pohang Steelers | 40 /30 | 43.7 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Incheon United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1460
Pohang Steelers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1681
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Incheon United: balanced profile (how Jong-Hwan Yoon plays) · Pohang Steelers: possession-based (how Tae-Ha Park plays)