Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 7
Imisli FK 0–2 Qarabag
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Yevlakh City Stadium, Yevlakh
Imisli FKTeam 1445QarabagTeam 1779- O. Kashchuk 59'
- J. Mouaddib 88'
We gave Qarabag 62% to win: they did.
- 16'J. Montiel –Qarabag:J. Montiel –
- 59'O. Kashchuk –Qarabag:O. Kashchuk –
- A. Eyubov – for A. Salahly –64'Imisli FK:A. Eyubov – for A. Salahly –
- 67'M. Jankovic – for J. Montiel –Qarabag:M. Jankovic – for J. Montiel –
- 67'Z. Sawo – for M. Qurbanly –Qarabag:Z. Sawo – for M. Qurbanly –
- S. Faracov – for M. Yaw –75'Imisli FK:S. Faracov – for M. Yaw –
- 75'R. Cephas – for O. Kashchuk –Qarabag:R. Cephas – for O. Kashchuk –
- B. Hasanalizada –84'Imisli FK:B. Hasanalizada –
- 88'J. Mouaddib –Qarabag:J. Mouaddib –
- 90+2'Qarabag:
Before kick-off (provisional): 16% · 22% · 62%(Imisli FK · draw · Qarabag)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–2 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Imisli FK €261K, Qarabag €1.1M.
- Rafael Viegas, Juninho, Ronaldo, N. Karaklajić and E. Morgan (Imisli FK) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Imisli FK
10th in Premyer Liqa · 4 pts from 6
- 29 AugWSafa Baku Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1416
- 2 MayWAraz Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1376
- 20 MarLNeftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1398
- 14 MarLSabah FA Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1437
- 8 MarDŞamaxı FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1462
Qarabag
3rd in Premyer Liqa · 13 pts from 5
- 27 AugLTwente UEFA Conference League1776
- 20 AugWTwente UEFA Conference League1744
- 13 AugWDynamo Kyiv UEFA Conference League1737
- 6 AugLDynamo Kyiv UEFA Conference League1765
- 30 JulDCSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League1743
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imisli FK | 4 /6 | 37.0 | 0% | 2% | 27% | 7th |
| Qarabag | 13 /5 | 68.2 | 41% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Qarabag · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1931
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile