Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 27
Ilves 2–0 SJK
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Tammela Stadium, Tampere
IlvesTeam 1404SJKTeam 1318- Teemu Hytönen 43'
- Elias Tamminen 90+3'
We gave Ilves 48% to win: they did.
- 36'F. Constantini 1421 −11SJK:F. Constantini 1421 −11
- Anton Popovitch 1487 +1441'Ilves:Anton Popovitch 1487 +14
- 41'Samuel Friday James 1222 −8*SJK:Samuel Friday James 1222 −8*
- Teemu Hytönen 1542 +16 (penalty missed)43'Ilves:Teemu Hytönen 1542 +16 (penalty missed)
- Teemu Hytönen 1542 +1643'Ilves:Teemu Hytönen 1542 +16
- Elias Tamminen 1345 +13 for Teemu Hytönen 1542 +1645'Ilves:Elias Tamminen 1345 +13 for Teemu Hytönen 1542 +16
- 50'K. Nwanege 1499 −10SJK:K. Nwanege 1499 −10
- 61'Topias Töllinen 1201 −8* for Salim Giabo Yussif 1472 −5SJK:Topias Töllinen 1201 −8* for Salim Giabo Yussif 1472 −5
- 61'T. Kangaskokko 1201 −8* for Leon Vesterbacka 1203 0SJK:T. Kangaskokko 1201 −8* for Leon Vesterbacka 1203 0
- 61'Eetu Mömmö 1325 0 for Apostolos Vellios 1271 −14*SJK:Eetu Mömmö 1325 0 for Apostolos Vellios 1271 −14*
- 61'Murilo Henrique de Araujo Santos 1464 −13* for Elias Mastokangas 1120 0SJK:Murilo Henrique de Araujo Santos 1464 −13* for Elias Mastokangas 1120 0
- Yiandro Raap 1456 +15 for Oskari Multala 1425 +1462'Ilves:Yiandro Raap 1456 +15 for Oskari Multala 1425 +14
- Jesse Kilo 1393 +12 for Stanislav Baranov 1182 +3370'Ilves:Jesse Kilo 1393 +12 for Stanislav Baranov 1182 +33
- Hamidou Coulibaly 1242 +14 for Yacouba Sacko 1277 +18*71'Ilves:Hamidou Coulibaly 1242 +14 for Yacouba Sacko 1277 +18*
- 77'Aziz Cisse 1220 0 for Kelwin Souza do Nascimento 1487 −7SJK:Aziz Cisse 1220 0 for Kelwin Souza do Nascimento 1487 −7
- Elias Tamminen 1345 +1382'Ilves:Elias Tamminen 1345 +13
- Franck Régis Ehui Kouakou 1240 −3* for Kalle Wallius 1534 +1285'Ilves:Franck Régis Ehui Kouakou 1240 −3* for Kalle Wallius 1534 +12
- Elias Tamminen 1345 +13 assist Goudouss Bamba 1370 +2690+3'Ilves:Elias Tamminen 1345 +13 assist Goudouss Bamba 1370 +26
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 30% · 22%(Ilves · draw · SJK)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Ilves €201K, SJK €158K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Veikkausliiga): Ilves ranked #1 of 9, SJK #6.
- SJK were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ilves
9th in Veikkausliiga · 25 pts from 22
- 10 OctDMariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga1463
- 19 SepWTurku PS Finland Veikkausliiga1443
- 12 SepWLahti Finland Veikkausliiga1436
- 8 SepWFF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga1430
- 31 AugLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1424
SJK
10th in Veikkausliiga · 19 pts from 22
- 9 OctWLahti Finland Veikkausliiga1380
- 18 SepWMariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga1322
- 12 SepDFF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga1345
- 8 SepDTurku PS Finland Veikkausliiga1332
- 31 AugDAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1353
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 35 /26 | 36.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
| SJK | 27 /26 | 28.0 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ilves · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.2 (Average) · Elo 1473
SJK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1432
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ilves: balanced profile (how Camilo Speranza plays) · SJK: dribble-heavy (how Jarkko Juhani Wiss plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.