1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Iğdır FK host Ümraniyespor on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Iğdır FK 56%, draw 25%, Ümraniyespor 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Iğdır FK €365K, Ümraniyespor €216K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (1. Lig): Iğdır FK rank #19 of 21, Ümraniyespor #3.
- Iğdır FK are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Ümraniyespor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Iğdır FK goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Iğdır FK 1736 · Ümraniyespor 1584
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Iğdır FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1838
Ümraniyespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1633
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Iğdır FK
3rd in 1. Lig · 27 pts from 13
- 1 NovDAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1732
- 24 OctWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1694
- 18 OctWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1723
- 14 OctDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1726
- 10 OctWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1749
Ümraniyespor
14th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 12
- 1 NovDBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1580
- 24 OctWSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1546
- 18 OctWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1534
- 9 OctDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1517
- 18 SepWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1506
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 27 /13 | 66.3 | 4% | 73% | 0% | 3rd |
| Ümraniyespor | 14 /12 | 43.1 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Iğdır FK: possession-based (how Kenan Koçak plays) · Ümraniyespor: balanced profile (how T. Albayrak plays)