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1. Lig · Regular Season - 11

Iğdır FK 1–0 Boluspor

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Aktepe Stadium, Ankara

Iğdır FK crestIğdır FKTeam 1685
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Boluspor crestBolusporTeam 1259

Match story

Iğdır FK · draw · Boluspor

Before kick-off: 77% · 15% · 8%

Live chances: Iğdır FK 96%, draw 4%, Boluspor 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 77%, draw 15%, Boluspor 8%2' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 76%, draw 15%, Boluspor 8%3' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 76%, draw 16%, Boluspor 8%4' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 76%, draw 16%, Boluspor 8%5' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 76%, draw 16%, Boluspor 8%6' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 76%, draw 16%, Boluspor 9%7' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 75%, draw 16%, Boluspor 9%8' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 75%, draw 16%, Boluspor 9%9' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 75%, draw 16%, Boluspor 9%10' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 75%, draw 17%, Boluspor 9%11' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 74%, draw 17%, Boluspor 9%12' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 74%, draw 17%, Boluspor 9%13' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 74%, draw 17%, Boluspor 9%14' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 74%, draw 17%, Boluspor 9%15' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 73%, draw 18%, Boluspor 9%16' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 73%, draw 18%, Boluspor 9%17' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 73%, draw 18%, Boluspor 9%18' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 72%, draw 18%, Boluspor 9%19' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 72%, draw 18%, Boluspor 10%20' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 72%, draw 18%, Boluspor 10%21' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 72%, draw 19%, Boluspor 10%22' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 71%, draw 19%, Boluspor 10%23' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 71%, draw 19%, Boluspor 10%24' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 71%, draw 19%, Boluspor 10%25' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 70%, draw 20%, Boluspor 10%26' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 70%, draw 20%, Boluspor 10%27' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 70%, draw 20%, Boluspor 10%28' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 70%, draw 20%, Boluspor 10%29' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 69%, draw 20%, Boluspor 10%30' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 69%, draw 21%, Boluspor 10%31' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 68%, draw 21%, Boluspor 11%32' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 68%, draw 21%, Boluspor 11%33' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 68%, draw 22%, Boluspor 11%34' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 67%, draw 22%, Boluspor 11%35' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 67%, draw 22%, Boluspor 11%36' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 67%, draw 22%, Boluspor 11%37' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 66%, draw 23%, Boluspor 11%38' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 66%, draw 23%, Boluspor 11%39' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 65%, draw 23%, Boluspor 11%40' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 65%, draw 24%, Boluspor 11%41' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 65%, draw 24%, Boluspor 11%43' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 64%, draw 25%, Boluspor 12%44' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 63%, draw 25%, Boluspor 12%45' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 63%, draw 25%, Boluspor 12%45+1' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 62%, draw 26%, Boluspor 12%45+2' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 62%, draw 26%, Boluspor 12%45+3' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 61%, draw 27%, Boluspor 12%45+4' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 61%, draw 27%, Boluspor 12%HT · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 61%, draw 27%, Boluspor 12%46' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 61%, draw 27%, Boluspor 12%47' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 61%, draw 27%, Boluspor 12%49' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 60%, draw 28%, Boluspor 12%50' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 59%, draw 29%, Boluspor 12%51' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 58%, draw 29%, Boluspor 12%52' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 58%, draw 30%, Boluspor 12%53' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 57%, draw 30%, Boluspor 12%54' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 56%, draw 31%, Boluspor 12%55' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 56%, draw 32%, Boluspor 13%56' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 55%, draw 33%, Boluspor 13%57' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 54%, draw 33%, Boluspor 13%58' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 53%, draw 34%, Boluspor 13%59' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 53%, draw 35%, Boluspor 13%60' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 52%, draw 35%, Boluspor 13%61' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 51%, draw 36%, Boluspor 13%62' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 50%, draw 37%, Boluspor 13%63' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 50%, draw 38%, Boluspor 13%64' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 49%, draw 38%, Boluspor 13%65' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 48%, draw 39%, Boluspor 13%66' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 47%, draw 40%, Boluspor 13%67' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 46%, draw 41%, Boluspor 13%68' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 46%, draw 42%, Boluspor 12%69' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 45%, draw 43%, Boluspor 12%70' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 44%, draw 44%, Boluspor 12%71' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 43%, draw 45%, Boluspor 12%72' · 0–0 · Iğdır FK 42%, draw 46%, Boluspor 12%73' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 88%, draw 11%, Boluspor 1%74' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 88%, draw 11%, Boluspor 1%75' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 88%, draw 11%, Boluspor 1%76' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 88%, draw 11%, Boluspor 1%77' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 88%, draw 11%, Boluspor 1%78' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 89%, draw 10%, Boluspor 1%79' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 89%, draw 10%, Boluspor 1%80' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 89%, draw 10%, Boluspor 1%81' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 89%, draw 10%, Boluspor 1%82' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 90%, draw 10%, Boluspor 1%83' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 90%, draw 9%, Boluspor 1%84' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 90%, draw 9%, Boluspor 1%85' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 91%, draw 9%, Boluspor 1%86' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 91%, draw 8%, Boluspor 1%87' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 92%, draw 8%, Boluspor 0%88' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 92%, draw 7%, Boluspor 0%89' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 93%, draw 7%, Boluspor 0%90' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 94%, draw 6%, Boluspor 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 94%, draw 5%, Boluspor 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 95%, draw 5%, Boluspor 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Iğdır FK 96%, draw 4%, Boluspor 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 96% · 4% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Iğdır FK 77% to win: they did.

  1. 6'Iğdır FK:Arda Çolak 1451 +5
  2. 19'Iğdır FK:Giovanni Crociata 1902 +1
  3. 22'Iğdır FK:Alperen Selvi 1317 +17* for Loic Kouagba 1754 −1
  4. 28'Boluspor:Canberk Ozdemir 1092 −10*
  5. 38'Boluspor:B. Göçmen 1603 −4
  6. 45'Iğdır FK:Ozder Ozcan 1493 +5 for Arda Çolak 1451 +5
  7. 57'Boluspor:Bertu Ozyurek 1395 0 for Ege Özkayimoglu 1217 0
  8. 57'Boluspor:Furkan Metin 1295 0 for Nurettin Korkmaz 1185 −8*
  9. 66'Iğdır FK:Leandro Bacuna 1581 −2 for Serdar Gürler 1715 −4
  10. 66'Iğdır FK:Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan 1826 +1 for Moustapha Camara 1758 +3
  11. 72'Iğdır FK:Leandro Bacuna 1581 −2
  12. 78'Boluspor:Can Arda Yılmaz 1276 −8* for Ahmet Can Özdemir 1172 0
  13. 78'Iğdır FK:Dogan Erdogan 1792 +9
  14. 79'Boluspor:Abdulsamet Kırım 1131 −12* for Muhammed Mert 1375 −4
  15. 90+1'Iğdır FK:Leon Çalışkan 1453 0 for Gökcan Kaya 1806 +1
  16. 90+2'Boluspor:Ali Uğurhan Uğurlu for Zeki Dursun 1148 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-1-4-1
GJ. Szumski1813+8
DH. Karabey1396+29
DA. Öztürk1753+7
DL. Kouagba1754−1
DS. Gönül1907+5
MM. Camara1758+3
MD. Erdoğan1792+9
MG. Crociata1902+1
MS. Gürler1715−4
FG. Kaya1806+1
FA. Çolak1451+5
CK. Kocak1773+8
GA. Tafas9540
DAhmet Ozdemir11720
DB. Göçmen1603−4
DK. Cuesta1685−10
DC. Özdemir1092−10*
MT. Artuç12380
MN. Korkmaz1185−8*
MZ. Dursun1148−8*
MM. Mert1375−4
ME. Özkayımoğlu12170
FR. Rivas1325−2
CDaniel Farrar1155
Before kick-off: 77% · 15% · 8%(Iğdır FK · draw · Boluspor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 1–0 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Iğdır FK €360K, Boluspor €167K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Lig matchday 11: 375 points.
  • Draw chance was 17%, below the 1. Lig average of 27% this round.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (1. Lig): Iğdır FK ranked #20 of 20, Boluspor #4.
  • Iğdır FK were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Iğdır FK

3rd in 1. Lig · 20 pts from 10

  • 14 OctDKeçiörengücü 1729
  • 10 OctWBatman Petrolspor 1751
  • 18 SepDMuğlaspor 1696
  • 13 SepWMardin 1969 1728
  • 7 SepWİstanbulspor 1690

Boluspor

20th in 1. Lig · 1 pts from 9

  • 10 OctLAntalyaspor 1382
  • 19 SepLSarıyer 1293
  • 12 SepDPendikspor 1294
  • 5 SepLBandırmaspor 1324
  • 28 AugLMuğlaspor 1381

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Iğdır FK20 /1065.06%67%0%3rd
Boluspor1 /921.50%0%100%20th
Iğdır FK
Boluspor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Gönül
S. Gönül

Iğdır FK · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1902

K. Cuesta
K. Cuesta

Boluspor · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1695

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Kenan Koçak

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Daniel Farrar

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Iğdır FK: possession-based (how Kenan Koçak plays) · Boluspor: balanced profile (how Daniel Farrar plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.