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Superettan · Regular Season - 26

IFK Varnamo 1–2 Falkenbergs FF

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Finnvedsvallen, Venamu

IFK Varnamo crestIFK VarnamoTeam 1498
1–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Falkenbergs FF crestFalkenbergs FFTeam 1378

Match story

IFK Varnamo · draw · Falkenbergs FF

Before kick-off: 51% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: IFK Varnamo 0%, draw 5%, Falkenbergs FF 95% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · IFK Varnamo 51%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 22%3' · 0–0 · IFK Varnamo 51%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 22%4' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 42%5' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 42%6' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 42%7' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 42%8' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 43%9' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 43%10' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 43%11' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 43%12' · 0–1 · IFK Varnamo 30%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 43%13' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 49%, draw 28%, Falkenbergs FF 23%14' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 49%, draw 28%, Falkenbergs FF 23%15' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 49%, draw 28%, Falkenbergs FF 23%16' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 49%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 23%17' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 49%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 23%18' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 48%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 23%19' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 48%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 23%20' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 48%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 23%21' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 48%, draw 30%, Falkenbergs FF 23%22' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 48%, draw 30%, Falkenbergs FF 23%23' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 47%, draw 30%, Falkenbergs FF 23%24' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 47%, draw 30%, Falkenbergs FF 23%25' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 47%, draw 30%, Falkenbergs FF 23%26' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 47%, draw 31%, Falkenbergs FF 23%27' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 46%, draw 31%, Falkenbergs FF 23%28' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 46%, draw 31%, Falkenbergs FF 23%29' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 46%, draw 31%, Falkenbergs FF 23%30' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 46%, draw 32%, Falkenbergs FF 23%31' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 46%, draw 32%, Falkenbergs FF 23%32' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 45%, draw 32%, Falkenbergs FF 23%33' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 45%, draw 32%, Falkenbergs FF 23%34' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 45%, draw 33%, Falkenbergs FF 23%35' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 33%, Falkenbergs FF 22%36' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 33%, Falkenbergs FF 22%37' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 34%, Falkenbergs FF 22%38' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 34%, Falkenbergs FF 22%39' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 43%, draw 34%, Falkenbergs FF 22%40' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 43%, draw 35%, Falkenbergs FF 22%41' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 43%, draw 35%, Falkenbergs FF 22%42' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 42%, draw 35%, Falkenbergs FF 22%43' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 42%, draw 36%, Falkenbergs FF 22%44' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 42%, draw 36%, Falkenbergs FF 22%45' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 42%, draw 36%, Falkenbergs FF 22%45+1' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 41%, draw 37%, Falkenbergs FF 22%45+2' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 41%, draw 37%, Falkenbergs FF 22%HT · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 40%, draw 38%, Falkenbergs FF 22%46' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 40%, draw 38%, Falkenbergs FF 22%47' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 40%, draw 38%, Falkenbergs FF 22%48' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 40%, draw 39%, Falkenbergs FF 22%49' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 39%, draw 39%, Falkenbergs FF 22%50' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 39%, draw 40%, Falkenbergs FF 21%51' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 40%, Falkenbergs FF 21%52' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 41%, Falkenbergs FF 21%53' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 41%, Falkenbergs FF 21%54' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 37%, draw 42%, Falkenbergs FF 21%55' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 37%, draw 43%, Falkenbergs FF 21%56' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 36%, draw 43%, Falkenbergs FF 21%57' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 35%, draw 44%, Falkenbergs FF 20%58' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 35%, draw 45%, Falkenbergs FF 20%59' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 46%, Falkenbergs FF 20%60' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 46%, Falkenbergs FF 20%61' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 33%, draw 47%, Falkenbergs FF 20%62' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 33%, draw 48%, Falkenbergs FF 19%63' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 48%, Falkenbergs FF 19%64' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 49%, Falkenbergs FF 19%65' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 50%, Falkenbergs FF 19%66' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 31%, draw 51%, Falkenbergs FF 18%67' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 30%, draw 52%, Falkenbergs FF 18%68' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 29%, draw 53%, Falkenbergs FF 18%69' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 29%, draw 53%, Falkenbergs FF 18%70' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 28%, draw 54%, Falkenbergs FF 17%71' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 28%, draw 55%, Falkenbergs FF 17%72' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 27%, draw 56%, Falkenbergs FF 17%74' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 26%, draw 58%, Falkenbergs FF 16%75' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 25%, draw 60%, Falkenbergs FF 16%76' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 24%, draw 61%, Falkenbergs FF 15%77' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 23%, draw 62%, Falkenbergs FF 15%78' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 22%, draw 63%, Falkenbergs FF 14%79' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 22%, draw 65%, Falkenbergs FF 14%80' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 21%, draw 66%, Falkenbergs FF 13%81' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 20%, draw 67%, Falkenbergs FF 13%82' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 19%, draw 69%, Falkenbergs FF 12%83' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 18%, draw 70%, Falkenbergs FF 12%84' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 17%, draw 72%, Falkenbergs FF 11%85' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 16%, draw 73%, Falkenbergs FF 11%86' · 1–1 · IFK Varnamo 15%, draw 75%, Falkenbergs FF 10%87' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 1%, draw 14%, Falkenbergs FF 84%88' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 1%, draw 13%, Falkenbergs FF 85%89' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 1%, draw 12%, Falkenbergs FF 87%90' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 1%, draw 11%, Falkenbergs FF 88%90+1' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 1%, draw 10%, Falkenbergs FF 90%90+2' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 0%, draw 8%, Falkenbergs FF 92%90+3' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 0%, draw 6%, Falkenbergs FF 93%90+4' · 1–2 · IFK Varnamo 0%, draw 5%, Falkenbergs FF 95%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 5% · 95%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave IFK Varnamo 51% to win: Falkenbergs FF won.

  1. 4'Falkenbergs FF:albin andersson 1446 +10* (pen.)
  2. 13'IFK Varnamo:Hugo Andersson Mella 1375 −8* assist Axel Bjornström 1499 −10*
  3. 32'Falkenbergs FF:Argjend Miftari 1349 +24*
  4. 46'Falkenbergs FF:Tim·Stalheden 1421 for Argjend Miftari 1349 +24*
  5. 47'Falkenbergs FF:Godwin Aguda 1441 +10*
  6. 65'Falkenbergs FF:Nils Bertilsson 1443 for Ayo Rupia-Ellis 1325 +27*
  7. 68'IFK Varnamo:Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa for August Ljungberg 1418 −8*
  8. 74'Falkenbergs FF:Hampus Källström 1399 +17*
  9. 83'IFK Varnamo:Sigge Skorpan Jansson 1442 for calle johansson 1528 −9*
  10. 83'IFK Varnamo:Carl Johansson 1528 −9* for Hugo Andersson Mella 1375 −8*
  11. 85'Falkenbergs FF:albin andersson 1446 +10*
  12. 86'IFK Varnamo:Simon Thern 1358 for Kai Meriluoto 1505 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GH. Keto1532−8*
DA. Motaraghebjafarpour1646−11*
DJ. Rapp1484−8*
DZ. Råvik1397−8*
DA. Björnström1499−10*
MH. Andersson Mella1375−8*
FV. Claesson1646−19*
MC. Johansson1528−9*
MA. Ljungberg1418−8*
FK. Meriluoto1505−8*
FM. Antonsson1442−15*
CK. Bergstrand1752−23*
GA. Andersson1429+13*
DL. Borgström1458+9*
MA. Miftari1349+24*
DA. Salo1446+10*
DA. Rupia-Ellis1325+27*
FO. Lindberg1433+12*
FG. Aguda1441+10*
MM. Nilsson1130+58*
FE. Mohammad1467+8*
FAlbin Andersson1446+10*
MH. Källström1399+17*
CC. Andersson1405+16*
Before kick-off: 51% · 26% · 22%(IFK Varnamo · draw · Falkenbergs FF)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: IFK Varnamo €297K, Falkenbergs FF €221K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

IFK Varnamo

11th in Superettan · 29 pts from 25

  • 19 SepWOddevold 1509
  • 15 SepLOsters IF 1512
  • 9 SepWUnited Nordic 1462
  • 5 SepDVarbergs BoIS FC 1479
  • 29 AugWLjungskile SK 1432

Falkenbergs FF

2nd in Superettan · 45 pts from 25

  • 18 SepDOstersunds FK 1374
  • 13 SepWLjungskile SK 1349
  • 10 SepWOsters IF 1348
  • 5 SepLOddevold 1325
  • 29 AugWIK brage 1377

Season outlook

From the Superettan simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
IFK Varnamo29 /2537.60%0%3%11th
Falkenbergs FF45 /2551.2<1%84%0%2nd
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Superettan

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

V. Claesson
V. Claesson

IFK Varnamo · -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1665

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Kim Hilding Bergstrand

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Christoffer Tobias Andersson

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

IFK Varnamo: balanced profile (how Kim Hilding Bergstrand plays) · Falkenbergs FF: direct (how Christoffer Tobias Andersson plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.