Superettan · Regular Season - 27
IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Idrottsparken, Norrköping
IFK Norrkoping host Orebro SK on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (Superettan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: IFK Norrkoping 50%, draw 27%, Orebro SK 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: IFK Norrkoping €293K, Orebro SK €245K.
- Superettan: T. Krantz is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1557).
- Superettan: E. Rakip is the highest-rated midfielder (1653).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Superettan): IFK Norrkoping rank #12 of 14, Orebro SK #3.
- IFK Norrkoping are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. IFK Norrkoping goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: IFK Norrkoping 1507 · Orebro SK 1406
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Orebro SK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1471
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
IFK Norrkoping
1st in Superettan · 58 pts from 26
- 13 OctWGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1516
- 19 SepWOsters IF Sweden Superettan1500
- 13 SepDOddevold Sweden Superettan1459
- 10 SepWVarbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan1484
- 4 SepDLjungskile SK Sweden Superettan1490
Orebro SK
15th in Superettan · 25 pts from 26
- 11 OctDLjungskile SK Sweden Superettan1403
- 19 SepLSandviken Sweden Superettan1418
- 14 SepDUnited Nordic Sweden Superettan1448
- 10 SepWGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1413
- 7 SepLOstersunds FK Sweden Superettan1395
Season outlook
From the Superettan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | 58 /26 | 64.4 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Orebro SK | 25 /26 | 30.3 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
IFK Norrkoping: balanced profile (how Eldar Abdulic plays) · Orebro SK: balanced profile (how Rikard Norling plays)