Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 23
IFK Goteborg 1–0 Vasteras SK FK
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
IFK GoteborgTeam 1629Vasteras SK FKTeam 1598We gave IFK Goteborg 43% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 30% · 27%(IFK Goteborg · draw · Vasteras SK FK)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: IFK Goteborg €640K, Vasteras SK FK €463K.
- IFK Goteborg were without 1 expected starter: H. Hermannsson (1683).
- Only 2 of Vasteras SK FK's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- IFK Goteborg were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
IFK Goteborg
9th in Allsvenskan · 32 pts from 22
- 19 SepWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1663
- 12 SepWHalmstad Allsvenskan1649
- 7 SepWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1619
- 30 AugWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1628
- 23 AugDIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1630
Vasteras SK FK
6th in Allsvenskan · 35 pts from 22
- 19 SepWMalmo FF Allsvenskan1584
- 12 SepWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1505
- 5 SepLSirius Allsvenskan1531
- 29 AugWBK Hacken Allsvenskan1478
- 23 AugDKalmar FF Allsvenskan1553
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 32 /22 | 42.3 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 10th |
| Vasteras SK FK | 35 /22 | 46.1 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
IFK Goteborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1723
Vasteras SK FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1683
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
IFK Goteborg: balanced profile (how Joachim Bjorklund plays) · Vasteras SK FK: balanced profile (how Alexander Rubin plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.